CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Yawara Esports vs Game Hunters (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship South American Series #1 Group B
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd6a69f6818bdf0d316cfc02d7c3c5ce52db450d7a3c5b9b991067be0140da2c8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yawara Esportsof Yawara Esports, Game Hunters
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,703
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,080
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,703 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Game Hunters | 21c | 704.03$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.62 | 401 | 37.2%149 W · 252 L | -17.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Game Hunters | 32c | 520.4$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.64 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefa3…7585backed Game Hunters | 30c | 366.44$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.7 | 773 | 51.2%396 W · 377 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x920a…29e0backed Yawara Esports | 70c | 347.06$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.31 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…22bbbacked Yawara Esports | 80c | 343.25$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.78 | 1,393 | 65.9%918 W · 475 L | +26.8wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Game Hunters | 7c | 307.17$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 758 | 33.4%253 W · 505 L | -48.9wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -31%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb21b…88f9backed Yawara Esports | 72c | 265.44$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.32 | 470 | 54%254 W · 216 L | +12.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36d9…c3cabacked Yawara Esports | 68c | 239.91$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.57 | 199 | 54.8%109 W · 90 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Game Hunters | 33c | 236.08$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.2 | 500 | 51.4%257 W · 243 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Game Hunters | 12c | 195.91$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.57 | 2,508 | 41%1,029 W · 1,479 L | -115.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Game Hunters | 10c | 175.6$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.31 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Game Hunters | 10c | 152.23$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.55 | 1,407 | 38.9%547 W · 860 L | -41.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91d5…8a03backed Yawara Esports | 71c | 140.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.68 | 121 | 57.9%70 W · 51 L | +7.2wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1810…ac44backed Yawara Esports | 70c | 140.61$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.62 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -3.8wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Yawara Esports | 68c | 123.74$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.6 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Game Hunters | 21c | 108.8$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.56 | 1,630 | 43.2%704 W · 926 L | -32.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e5f…6ee5backed Yawara Esports | 71c | 105$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.45 | 60 | 40%24 W · 36 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Yawara Esports | 67c | 97.15$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.06 | 576 | 41.5%239 W · 337 L | -8.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08e0…f4a0backed Game Hunters | 33c | 90.91$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 838 | 56.1%470 W · 368 L | +31.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Game Hunters | 27c | 87.15$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.24 | 809 | 42.3%342 W · 467 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6986…3369backed Game Hunters | 33c | 75.05$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.7 | 98 | 49%48 W · 50 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1405…9882backed Game Hunters | 33c | 72.26$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.73 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -4.8wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked Game Hunters | 25c | 67.72$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.93 | 2,110 | 47.2%995 W · 1,115 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6687…f152backed Yawara Esports | 69c | 65.71$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde25…c0a5backed Game Hunters | 33c | 64.89$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.2 | 220 | 49.1%108 W · 112 L | -8.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc263…1e83backed Game Hunters | 33c | 64.59$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.23 | 347 | 50.7%176 W · 171 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5696…b3aabacked Yawara Esports | 70c | 55$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.7 | 47 | 59.6%28 W · 19 L | +4.0wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee22…7054backed Game Hunters | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 118 | 44.1%52 W · 66 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Yawara Esports | 68c | 47.1$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.21 | 1,848 | 47.6%879 W · 969 L | -55.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d9d…6703backed Yawara Esports | 71c | 36.46$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.46 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.46per pick | 71cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9444…048ebacked Game Hunters | 33c | 32.36$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.58 | 147 | 51.7%76 W · 71 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c5d…8e0fbacked Yawara Esports | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b86…5552backed Yawara Esports | 71c | 15.59$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.52 | 163 | 63.2%103 W · 60 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Yawara Esports | 78c | 12.83$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.82 | 675 | 47.3%319 W · 356 L | -9.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Yawara Esports vs Game Hunters (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship South American Series #1 Group Bthis page
- Counter-Strike: Yawara Esports vs Game Hunters - Map 1 WinnerYawara Esports won
- Counter-Strike: Yawara Esports vs Game Hunters - Map 2 WinnerYawara Esports won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: YAW (-1.5) vs Game Hunters (+1.5)Yawara Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.