La Liga · resolved market
Will Cádiz CF win on 2026-08-15?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x87c623e534dc2e4a8aeaedccc1c6d7a15baf7b9dd1001403d9223c3362156232
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,976
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,128
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,976 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 54c | 6,727$3,614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,112.72 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5693…8b76backed Yes | 47c | 6,500$3,055 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,055 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No | 53c | 295.63$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.95 | 138 | 44.9%62 W · 76 L | -8.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f28…ff9abacked No | 54c | 258.41$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.41 | 96 | 66.7%64 W · 32 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa24d…38b2backed Yes | 45c | 166.78$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 206 | 30.6%63 W · 143 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 47c | 163.18$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.69 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Yes | 46c | 135$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.1 | 180 | 46.7%84 W · 96 L | +11.1wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd121…7138backed Yes | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 33cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 11c | 109.98$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 608 | 32.4%197 W · 411 L | -12.8wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe368…e9edbacked Yes | 28c | 103.57$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd74…bedabacked Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 101 | 21.8%22 W · 79 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd325…8c5fbacked No | 57c | 99.98$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.99 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda6f…1e46backed No | 56c | 98.21$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.21 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | +5.7wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +21%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 46c | 91.86$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.48 | 1,566 | 51.6%808 W · 758 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1c8…023abacked No | 59c | 87.12$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.12 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54c8…46eebacked Yes | 26c | 79.98$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8eb…0acbbacked Yes | 47c | 72.34$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed No | 54c | 72.27$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.25 | 277 | 58.5%162 W · 115 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 80c | 64.19$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.84 | 417 | 51.8%216 W · 201 L | +18.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed Yes | 35c | 56.47$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.54 | 178 | 42.1%75 W · 103 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x129b…190abacked Yes | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -3.2wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 70c | 40.45$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.23 | 1,419 | 45.6%647 W · 772 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe530…ed7bbacked Yes | 42c | 40$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 57c | 38.64$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.63 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed No | 53c | 33.16$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.54 | 112 | 51.8%58 W · 54 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes | 47c | 28.56$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.29 | 89 | 47.2%42 W · 47 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed No | 56c | 27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.88 | 225 | 57.3%129 W · 96 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Yes | 43c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed No | 53c | 21.59$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.15 | 111 | 54.1%60 W · 51 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6951…66f3backed No | 56c | 21.43$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.43 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f41…5ffcbacked No | 53c | 20.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.87 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked No | 62c | 16.62$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.35 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +46.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Cádiz CF win on 2026-08-15?this page
- Will Celta Fortuna win on 2026-08-15?No won
- Will Cádiz CF vs. Celta Fortuna end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.