Fifa International · resolved market
Belarus vs. Burkina Faso: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8861249b186dffdffaf75f7bbff04b0aaa841e87b89cc3f11d8e0e0c3a0e4726
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,388
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,374
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,388 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf658…655ebacked Under | 62c | 2,733$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,700 | 202 | 62.4%126 W · 76 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 35c | 2,104$736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,368.81 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0684…d1fabacked Over | 26c | 771.12$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$571.12 | 108 | 32.4%35 W · 73 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10a6…4d8bbacked Over | 48c | 500$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 644 | 46.4%299 W · 345 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 74c | 337$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.38 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 74c | 337$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.38 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9db…6789backed Under | 12c | 284.08$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.09 | 272 | 55.9%152 W · 120 L | +36.1wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +49.8%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed Over | 48c | 195.99$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.39 | 560 | 22.7%127 W · 433 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Over | 24c | 167.15$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.46 | 237 | 32.1%76 W · 161 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2104…82d7backed Under | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 60 | 66.7%40 W · 20 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 35c | 134.93$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.36 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ee7…f36ebacked Under | 76c | 131.97$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 112 | 53.6%60 W · 52 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba3e…4cbcbacked Under | 60c | 108.33$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 76c | 79.94$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.11 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over | 39c | 57$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.77 | 1,492 | 41%612 W · 880 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Under | 48c | 45$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 236 | 58.1%137 W · 99 L | +20.4wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x89b9…118ebacked Over | 52c | 45$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 242 | 57.9%140 W · 102 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x976e…8453backed Under | 77c | 40$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.64 | 166 | 59.6%99 W · 67 L | -9.8wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0520…3efdbacked Under | 51c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.24 | 150 | 59.3%89 W · 61 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 254 | 55.9%142 W · 112 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a41…b2acbacked Under | 71c | 18.44$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +29%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x58e4…3876backed Under | 77c | 16.13$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.42 | 117 | 49.6%58 W · 59 L | -6.8wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Belarus vs. Burkina Faso: O/U 3.5this page
- Belarus vs. Burkina Faso: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Belarus vs. Burkina Faso: O/U 0.5Over won
- Belarus vs. Burkina Faso: O/U 1.5Over won
- Belarus vs. Burkina Faso: O/U 2.5Over won
- Belarus vs. Burkina Faso: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.