Fifa International · resolved market
Belarus vs. Burkina Faso: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3954f5e6fe85e552fb30a8ea08c01b0ef8e6ba91dd354b5103f9a8733e760193
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,466
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,041
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,466 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 59c | 1,369$808 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$807.76 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca6…6a20backed Over | 30c | 660.29$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.29 | 217 | 47.9%104 W · 113 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 28c | 560.37$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.16 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 46c | 500$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.94 | 199 | 46.7%93 W · 106 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 69c | 381.64$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.45 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over | 72c | 346.99$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.16 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc338…974ebacked Over | 32c | 307.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.73 | 197 | 46.2%91 W · 106 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 34c | 279.99$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186 | 504 | 50.2%253 W · 251 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0145…35d0backed Over | 73c | 273.97$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.97 | 148 | 66.9%99 W · 49 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d93…b34dbacked Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 245 | 55.1%135 W · 110 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 72c | 177.4$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.4 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb253…26febacked Under | 52c | 153.49$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 135 | 48.1%65 W · 70 L | -9.2wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Over | 73c | 150.62$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.67 | 418 | 57.9%242 W · 176 L | +14.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06a0…5804backed Over | 32c | 146.15$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.38 | 100 | 50%50 W · 50 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 19c | 106$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.28 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Under | 12c | 101.67$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.26 | 855 | 50.6%433 W · 422 L | +54.8wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7c…4cbfbacked Over | 47c | 99.99$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.99 | 110 | 42.7%47 W · 63 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Over | 56c | 99.99$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 908 | 40.9%371 W · 537 L | -64.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf05b…3c59backed Over | 32c | 78.13$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.13 | 165 | 47.9%79 W · 86 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a98…3f93backed Over | 32c | 78.13$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.13 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 54c | 63$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.02 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0255…4eb0backed Over | 73c | 60$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 122 | 63.9%78 W · 44 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Under | 27c | 60$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 1,702 | 36.7%625 W · 1,077 L | -31.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f8e…0404backed Over | 30c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | +5.5wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0435…a10ebacked Under | 41c | 48.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under | 53c | 45$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.85 | 1,492 | 41%612 W · 880 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29d3…ccf6backed Over | 46c | 42.89$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.16 | 171 | 45%77 W · 94 L | +11.5wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb595…5922backed Over | 76c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 31 | 77.4%24 W · 7 L | +3.7wins | +0.12per pick | 65cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Over | 67c | 35$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.55 | 254 | 55.9%142 W · 112 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Over | 73c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 373 | 48.3%180 W · 193 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Over | 42c | 29$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.82 | 237 | 43.9%104 W · 133 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89b9…118ebacked Over | 64c | 21.88$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.88 | 242 | 57.9%140 W · 102 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Over | 72c | 14.29$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 145 | 64.1%93 W · 52 L | +10.1wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Belarus vs. Burkina Faso: O/U 1.5this page
- Belarus vs. Burkina Faso: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Belarus vs. Burkina Faso: O/U 0.5Over won
- Belarus vs. Burkina Faso: O/U 2.5Over won
- Belarus vs. Burkina Faso: O/U 3.5Over won
- Belarus vs. Burkina Faso: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.