Fifa International · resolved market
Belarus vs. Burkina Faso: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0ef3fdfa3e0748d7494896c814bece92aff7474b621a470638c64fea3f2963ba
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,913
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,054
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,913 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5b75…433bbacked Over | 49c | 6,063$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,063.05 | 135 | 44.4%60 W · 75 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d50…d283backed Under | 0c | 5,442$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.85 | 475 | 46.1%219 W · 256 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 28c | 3,372$959 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,412.6 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf658…655ebacked Under | 56c | 3,047$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,700 | 202 | 62.4%126 W · 76 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 50c | 2,729$1,365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,364.59 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d0…8814backed Over | 49c | 2,060$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,060 | 38 | 73.7%28 W · 10 L | +5.0wins | +0.13per pick | 61cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed Under | 52c | 2,000$1,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,030 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked Under | 52c | 1,714$884 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$884.29 | 239 | 49.4%118 W · 121 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbc2…10dcbacked Over | 47c | 1,209$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639.04 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Over | 32c | 1,179$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$801.11 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f37…281bbacked Over | 12c | 1,174$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,032.8 | 228 | 13.2%30 W · 198 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Under | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 331 | 49.5%164 W · 167 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 50c | 750$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375 | 1,262 | 47.5%600 W · 662 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over | 49c | 714.29$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.29 | 454 | 28%127 W · 327 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8adb…e4f6backed Over | 39c | 707.61$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.61 | 58 | 41.4%24 W · 34 L | -5.3wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 52c | 606.66$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.52 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 37c | 524.35$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.26 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 74c | 456.76$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.69 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Under | 8c | 301.57$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.57 | 855 | 50.6%433 W · 422 L | +54.8wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb253…26febacked Under | 59c | 219.71$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 135 | 48.1%65 W · 70 L | -9.2wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfa69…02c1backed Under | 53c | 188.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 437 | 37.8%165 W · 272 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…307dbacked Over | 65c | 154.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.31 | 282 | 58.2%164 W · 118 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…dba8backed Over | 46c | 150.17$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.09 | 315 | 54.6%172 W · 143 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Under | 54c | 138.5$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.79 | 1,702 | 36.7%625 W · 1,077 L | -31.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 38c | 127$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.18 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ec…4d49backed Over | 53c | 121$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.46 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | +4.7wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe760…19bdbacked Under | 18c | 111.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 76 | 28.9%22 W · 54 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2342…12d6backed Over | 50c | 100.98$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.49 | 86 | 44.2%38 W · 48 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd60f…5165backed Over | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 76 | 59.2%45 W · 31 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x250f…4fc6backed Under | 54c | 99.99$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 111 | 56.8%63 W · 48 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Under | 54c | 99.99$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 200 | 50%100 W · 100 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed Over | 54c | 99.18$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.62 | 560 | 22.7%127 W · 433 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ee7…f36ebacked Under | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 112 | 53.6%60 W · 52 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 50c | 86$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 1,688 | 54.4%918 W · 770 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Under | 31c | 80.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.23 | 607 | 52.4%318 W · 289 L | +21.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff2a…bfefbacked Over | 45c | 66.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.67 | 153 | 41.2%63 W · 90 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9456…af0cbacked Under | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 62 | 64.5%40 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc986…1654backed Under | 54c | 51.57$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.85 | 70 | 52.9%37 W · 33 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf79c…94eabacked Over | 35c | 48.29$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.39 | 75 | 41.3%31 W · 44 L | +5.0wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2102…087dbacked Under | 65c | 46.15$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89b9…118ebacked Under | 63c | 45$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.35 | 242 | 57.9%140 W · 102 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa209…ffbebacked Over | 54c | 43.43$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.89 | 594 | 53.4%317 W · 277 L | +43.8wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Over | 54c | 42.81$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.81 | 823 | 40.9%337 W · 486 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 935 | 42.2%395 W · 540 L | -27.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…b720backed Under | 43c | 37.02$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.08 | 208 | 60.6%126 W · 82 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc313…6645backed Over | 45c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bb4…f3a4backed Over | 57c | 27.39$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.79 | 59 | 76.3%45 W · 14 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 70cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f80…85a7backed Over | 46c | 23.91$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.91 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0520…3efdbacked Under | 48c | 23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.04 | 150 | 59.3%89 W · 61 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Over | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 254 | 55.9%142 W · 112 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 52c | 19.79$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.29 | 597 | 52.1%311 W · 286 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56c6…3755backed Under | 76c | 13.81$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.48 | 32 | 71.9%23 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 65cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Belarus vs. Burkina Faso: O/U 2.5this page
- Belarus vs. Burkina Faso: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Belarus vs. Burkina Faso: O/U 0.5Over won
- Belarus vs. Burkina Faso: O/U 1.5Over won
- Belarus vs. Burkina Faso: O/U 3.5Over won
- Belarus vs. Burkina Faso: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.