CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Rune Eaters (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #4 Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8862df28edc3bf01fa9e2cec4702b13d72338614db8ce533389ba2040c93da4d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- fnaticof fnatic, Rune Eaters
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,403
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,288
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,403 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Rune Eaters | 25c | 1,302$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.83 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Rune Eaters | 21c | 857.04$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.16 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked fnatic | 73c | 577.55$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.53 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked fnatic | 77c | 577.42$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.81 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Rune Eaters | 3c | 532.07$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.96 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Rune Eaters | 21c | 506$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.8 | 162 | 35.8%58 W · 104 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed fnatic | 70c | 377.35$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.21 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb64…bfdcbacked fnatic | 77c | 296.09$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.1 | 183 | 41%75 W · 108 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaee4…471fbacked Rune Eaters | 23c | 282.41$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.95 | 357 | 52.9%189 W · 168 L | +22.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed fnatic | 79c | 262.44$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a68…9bd0backed Rune Eaters | 25c | 230.71$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.64 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…f729backed fnatic | 77c | 220.38$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.06 | 188 | 50%94 W · 94 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed Rune Eaters | 23c | 199.99$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x133c…b5abbacked Rune Eaters | 25c | 186.97$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.19 | 92 | 40.2%37 W · 55 L | -10.2wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0122…f1aabacked fnatic | 77c | 169.6$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.01 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.15per pick | 64cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Rune Eaters | 15c | 137.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.37 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Rune Eaters | 24c | 127.89$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.69 | 1,262 | 46.9%592 W · 670 L | -34.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked fnatic | 76c | 120$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.64 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed fnatic | 74c | 102.01$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.52 | 2,066 | 41.5%858 W · 1,208 L | -49.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8705…edbabacked fnatic | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 401 | 40.6%163 W · 238 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c98…186dbacked fnatic | 77c | 82.57$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.99 | 359 | 47.9%172 W · 187 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x155b…d7babacked fnatic | 80c | 78$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.96 | 406 | 52.2%212 W · 194 L | +22.4wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5135…7217backed Rune Eaters | 24c | 75.96$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.96 | 1,620 | 52.7%853 W · 767 L | +57.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked fnatic | 75c | 22.62$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.65 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.18per pick | 59cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe84…54ddbacked fnatic | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 387 | 53.2%206 W · 181 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1643…6ec8backed fnatic | 68c | 19.62$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.28 | 45 | 77.8%35 W · 10 L | +5.5wins | +0.12per pick | 66cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2e5b…292bbacked fnatic | 78c | 17.99$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.96 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed fnatic | 78c | 14.8$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.26 | 177 | 58.2%103 W · 74 L | +13.7wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Rune Eaters (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #4 Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Rune Eaters - Map 1 Winnerfnatic won
- Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Rune Eaters - Map 2 Winnerfnatic won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.