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Tennis · resolved market

Livesport Prague Open, Qualification: Veronika Podrez vs Rina Saigo

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Veronika Podrezof Veronika Podrez, Rina Saigo
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$43,608
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$46,795

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,608 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5268…135dbacked Rina Saigo8c9,916$789 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7894,25345%1,912 W · 2,341 L+20.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-17%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Rina Saigo10c3,812$384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$384.499,03836.1%3,266 W · 5,772 L-196.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeb77…ef9ebacked Veronika Podrez78c1,278$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$278.2394968.1%646 W · 303 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick67cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Rina Saigo21c1,093$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.318,70242.6%3,708 W · 4,994 L-165.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd3f9…45a7backed Veronika Podrez80c950.17$760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.1738066.3%252 W · 128 L-0.7wins0.00per pick67cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed Rina Saigo8c834.63$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.242,06148.6%1,002 W · 1,059 L+35.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x99d7…6435backed Rina Saigo21c775.54$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.311,14853%608 W · 540 L+25.5wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+22.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3ce8…4dd6backed Veronika Podrez67c751.78$504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.8857950.9%295 W · 284 L+2.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xfbc6…9092backed Rina Saigo19c525.52$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10037221.5%80 W · 292 L+1.4wins0.00per pick21cpaid-10%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7862…1706backed Rina Saigo13c384.62$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50238.7%2 W · 21 L-2.5wins-0.11per pick19cpaid-72.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x42d6…01ccbacked Veronika Podrez76c330.36$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.361,07762.8%676 W · 401 L-27.9wins-0.03per pick65cpaid-4.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Rina Saigo16c270$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.892,06535.2%727 W · 1,338 L-52.7wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9888…e6febacked Rina Saigo21c252.48$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.022,44745.9%1,123 W · 1,324 L-12.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Veronika Podrez74c238.69$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.9253847%253 W · 285 L-20.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc2be…af12backed Rina Saigo21c202$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.422,03246.9%952 W · 1,080 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Rina Saigo13c155.85$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.952,06946.7%966 W · 1,103 L+18.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-20.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xebd9…bdc7backed Rina Saigo25c138.76$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.694542.2%19 W · 26 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e73…ac97backed Veronika Podrez73c136.99$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.9920452.5%107 W · 97 L-6.5wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x747f…f2d7backed Rina Saigo25c132.39$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.4190152.3%471 W · 430 L-2.6wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d0a…ea32backed Rina Saigo10c124.82$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1243618.3%80 W · 356 L-21.4wins-0.05per pick23cpaid-32.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe10f…e8bbbacked Veronika Podrez72c116.67$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.6718572.4%134 W · 51 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick71cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0009…5497backed Veronika Podrez80c101.98$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.771,88048.5%912 W · 968 L+8.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-4.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked Veronika Podrez80c100$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2053343%229 W · 304 L-10.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7c8c…2d81backed Veronika Podrez79c88$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.2318655.4%103 W · 83 L-0.6wins0.00per pick56cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6318…46b1backed Rina Saigo24c83.32$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205,32528.8%1,533 W · 3,792 L-21.8wins0.00per pick29cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe1a4…2eb0backed Rina Saigo26c73$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.98633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick27cpaid+9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde76…7d17backed Veronika Podrez76c67.1$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.112552.8%66 W · 59 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d9a…05e6backed Rina Saigo21c62.45$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.042,09944.5%935 W · 1,164 L-51.5wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-22.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x15cf…4d9bbacked Veronika Podrez76c49.98$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1257449.1%282 W · 292 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0df7…1ec1backed Rina Saigo30c40$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.81,88257.4%1,081 W · 801 L+104.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+2.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3443…64e9backed Veronika Podrez79c39.73$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.3517171.3%122 W · 49 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick74cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4126…e68bbacked Veronika Podrez76c35$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.351,15969%800 W · 359 L+56.8wins+0.05per pick64cpaid+4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x341d…2995backed Veronika Podrez76c32.89$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.8931161.1%190 W · 121 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick64cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe01…b45dbacked Veronika Podrez76c25$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$622377.6%173 W · 50 L+0.6wins0.00per pick77cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6c69…68e1backed Veronika Podrez80c22.2$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.451353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-18.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe0c…c0cdbacked Veronika Podrez68c22.06$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.0659050.5%298 W · 292 L-7.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-8.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e41…b875backed Veronika Podrez74c20.27$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.2771165.1%463 W · 248 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick66cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x03ac…c3d9backed Veronika Podrez78c19.47$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.2850268.3%343 W · 159 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick67cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.