Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Idaho vs. Montana State
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x88da6b1deb0ffcd7e70f507191e345c6cf4e656fd3d43649189a0c4230c19a1e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Montana Stateof Idaho, Montana State
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,068
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,905
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,068 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 89 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Montana State | 36c | 532$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.77 | 1,391 | 44.1%613 W · 778 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Montana State | 66c | 480.15$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.7 | 530 | 57.4%304 W · 226 L | +33.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Idaho | 31c | 376$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.56 | 429 | 48.5%208 W · 221 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc739…e4f9backed Idaho | 65c | 269$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.85 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +20%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa119…4674backed Montana State | 68c | 139.16$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.53 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 61cpaid | -51%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8cfb…cbb3backed Idaho | 64c | 103$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.92 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe5d…b6f0backed Idaho | 34c | 98$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.32 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.34per pick | 46cpaid | +74.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b2b…b044backed Idaho | 32c | 88$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f5e…b77dbacked Idaho | 34c | 88$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc829…a1a1backed Montana State | 35c | 84$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.6 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +128.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Idaho | 33c | 81$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.73 | 605 | 51.4%311 W · 294 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36f8…5faebacked Idaho | 32c | 78$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61c1…2ca8backed Montana State | 35c | 75$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1583…42a1backed Montana State | 66c | 73$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.82 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f83…067dbacked Idaho | 32c | 70$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 36cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34f9…b4d4backed Idaho | 32c | 69$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.08 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x945b…d66abacked Idaho | 32c | 63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.16 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 59cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd55c…34febacked Idaho | 32c | 61.16$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.57 | 97 | 51.5%50 W · 47 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf60a…5f62backed Idaho | 32c | 61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x279e…f51fbacked Montana State | 68c | 61$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8954…b019backed Montana State | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8b3…3567backed Montana State | 35c | 58$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +185.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x906b…fc40backed Idaho | 32c | 57$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd082…60ebbacked Montana State | 35c | 57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.05 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a76…61a9backed Idaho | 32c | 56$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5b…d63ebacked Idaho | 50c | 56$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe79b…d811backed Idaho | 32c | 54$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaa3…6641backed Montana State | 66c | 53$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.02 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 53cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6de0…1f43backed Idaho | 32c | 52$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.64 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 41cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb92…feb9backed Montana State | 35c | 51$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.15 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +106.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfb58…d2f9backed Idaho | 32c | 51$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.32 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df6…ed47backed Idaho | 32c | 51$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.32 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -51%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc9…92debacked Montana State | 68c | 51$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe710…5075backed Idaho | 34c | 48$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x502d…9761backed Montana State | 68c | 47$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fb4…b549backed Idaho | 33c | 45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e5e…f670backed Idaho | 33c | 45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Idaho | 33c | 44$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.52 | 348 | 42.8%149 W · 199 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffda…e443backed Montana State | 68c | 44$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.08 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +73.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff5f…e387backed Idaho | 32c | 42$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.44 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -50%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9955…2853backed Idaho | 34c | 41$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.94 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb31e…5a0dbacked Montana State | 68c | 38$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x912a…cdddbacked Montana State | 68c | 37$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.84 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +69.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7db…1d5fbacked Montana State | 68c | 35$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x741d…c6b1backed Idaho | 34c | 34$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +19%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6261…dfbcbacked Idaho | 50c | 32$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc63d…3a85backed Idaho | 64c | 31$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ccb…e9f5backed Montana State | 68c | 31$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.92 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.23per pick | 63cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf47a…aa0fbacked Montana State | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf441…08d1backed Idaho | 64c | 30$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeac7…fec6backed Montana State | 65c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91ba…0699backed Montana State | 68c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea20…92cbbacked Montana State | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe135…32cdbacked Idaho | 50c | 29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac56…3695backed Montana State | 68c | 29$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca18…1af4backed Idaho | 64c | 29$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf02…48a9backed Montana State | 66c | 29$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.86 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 65cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02be…ea3bbacked Idaho | 50c | 29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x331c…e87dbacked Idaho | 65c | 28$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x023c…0b38backed Idaho | 65c | 28$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97c9…0e77backed Montana State | 68c | 28$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d78…9d93backed Montana State | 66c | 28$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0252…36e1backed Montana State | 68c | 28$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.96 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +71.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x173e…8c33backed Montana State | 67c | 28$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.24 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +78.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7bc9…073abacked Montana State | 66c | 27$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.18 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63f7…64a6backed Montana State | 68c | 27$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.64 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cdf…0b5dbacked Montana State | 50c | 26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e55…b5d9backed Montana State | 67c | 26$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.51 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4e…7751backed Montana State | 50c | 26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +125%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6eec…5cd4backed Montana State | 68c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x691c…e746backed Montana State | 68c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.45per pick | 56cpaid | +86.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7613…0595backed Montana State | 50c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2abe…423cbacked Montana State | 68c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd467…573cbacked Idaho | 50c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45fa…ded5backed Montana State | 66c | 24$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.16 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 59cpaid | +73.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc33c…6644backed Montana State | 68c | 24$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.68 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +125%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9799…a557backed Montana State | 68c | 24$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bcc…f92bbacked Montana State | 68c | 24$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.68 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 66cpaid | -51%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcda…560bbacked Montana State | 66c | 24$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd19a…f3febacked Montana State | 68c | 24$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0a9…bad3backed Montana State | 68c | 23$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc06f…a409backed Montana State | 50c | 23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7367…050fbacked Montana State | 67c | 22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.26 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57cc…7218backed Montana State | 68c | 22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8421…2540backed Montana State | 66c | 22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe35f…668ebacked Montana State | 67c | 22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.26 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5069…4682backed Montana State | 66c | 22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.48 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b80…070cbacked Montana State | 68c | 22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.04 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf910…7d1abacked Montana State | 67c | 22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.