NHL · resolved market
Maple Leafs vs. Kraken
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x88f0e119dad855999d9c9bab30a299cf1da58e726b91281fe4132e30415e88a7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Maple Leafsof Maple Leafs, Kraken
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,013
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,203
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,013 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 102 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe077…8ee3backed Kraken | 1c | 2,500$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Kraken | 42c | 1,430$601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.6 | 322 | 51.9%167 W · 155 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Kraken | 8c | 1,023$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.47 | 928 | 48.5%450 W · 478 L | +17.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…9337backed Maple Leafs | 58c | 799.99$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336 | 253 | 40.7%103 W · 150 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Maple Leafs | 70c | 789.33$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.33 | 237 | 61.6%146 W · 91 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb63d…9dd6backed Maple Leafs | 59c | 701$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.41 | 17 | 82.4%14 W · 3 L | +5.0wins | +0.29per pick | 53cpaid | +57.5%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xce13…a213backed Kraken | 41c | 699.99$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Maple Leafs | 69c | 645$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.95 | 323 | 31.3%101 W · 222 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc7c…958ebacked Kraken | 41c | 599.98$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.99 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +7.5wins | +0.20per pick | 42cpaid | +59.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef3…d60ebacked Maple Leafs | 59c | 599.93$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.97 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Kraken | 35c | 550$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.07 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e3…4d7ebacked Kraken | 41c | 529.77$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.21 | 92 | 51.1%47 W · 45 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Kraken | 39c | 513$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.07 | 728 | 47.9%349 W · 379 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Maple Leafs | 57c | 500$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.2 | 724 | 44.6%323 W · 401 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc42e…edbdbacked Kraken | 40c | 499.9$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.96 | 85 | 37.6%32 W · 53 L | -5.1wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Maple Leafs | 59c | 492.91$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.09 | 751 | 55.8%419 W · 332 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Kraken | 13c | 449.9$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.49 | 1,025 | 40.8%418 W · 607 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Kraken | 40c | 428.14$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.21 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Maple Leafs | 58c | 412.88$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.41 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23be…da4fbacked Kraken | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 222 | 46.8%104 W · 118 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x193d…2eb4backed Kraken | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | -5.1wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked Maple Leafs | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 724 | 48.3%350 W · 374 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Maple Leafs | 60c | 165.83$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.83 | 1,039 | 55.2%574 W · 465 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3605…e60ebacked Kraken | 41c | 156.1$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Maple Leafs | 59c | 149.98$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.49 | 840 | 51.4%432 W · 408 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x034b…8bc0backed Kraken | 42c | 149.32$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.71 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +4.3wins | +0.13per pick | 40cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf00f…711abacked Kraken | 40c | 136.29$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.52 | 137 | 56.2%77 W · 60 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Kraken | 16c | 132.37$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.3 | 95 | 53.7%51 W · 44 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe79d…650dbacked Kraken | 42c | 127.88$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.71 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 48cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b7…520dbacked Kraken | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 285 | 42.1%120 W · 165 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1720…ef36backed Maple Leafs | 60c | 118.33$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.33 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +2.8wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xba40…b7b7backed Kraken | 41c | 118.14$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.5 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904b…429cbacked Kraken | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 500 | 49.4%247 W · 253 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x953f…e730backed Maple Leafs | 59c | 89.69$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.77 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +58.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x30a0…cc6dbacked Kraken | 42c | 87.24$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.64 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.17per pick | 54cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e2a…0e15backed Maple Leafs | 60c | 83.64$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.64 | 60 | 41.7%25 W · 35 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6c…c389backed Maple Leafs | 59c | 83.58$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.27 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.9wins | -0.32per pick | 55cpaid | -61.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x22a6…b8f6backed Maple Leafs | 59c | 82.76$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.93 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Maple Leafs | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.97 | 1,037 | 55%570 W · 467 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc95c…cef3backed Maple Leafs | 59c | 75.57$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.33 | 193 | 47.2%91 W · 102 L | -14.9wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2297…faddbacked Kraken | 42c | 71.1$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e5…be51backed Maple Leafs | 58c | 70$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.4 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…9e4cbacked Kraken | 41c | 69.56$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c3…6fb2backed Maple Leafs | 60c | 69.32$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca10…7cb0backed Maple Leafs | 60c | 68.97$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.59 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +68.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc708…c299backed Maple Leafs | 59c | 64$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e80…585dbacked Kraken | 41c | 64$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d95…4fe1backed Maple Leafs | 59c | 63$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x699b…01cfbacked Kraken | 41c | 63$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2366…1078backed Kraken | 41c | 60.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 459 | 54.2%249 W · 210 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6163…8507backed Kraken | 41c | 60.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 198 | 52.5%104 W · 94 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8126…9064backed Maple Leafs | 60c | 59$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Maple Leafs | 59c | 55$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 818 | 46%376 W · 442 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5608…d88cbacked Maple Leafs | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd4…8643backed Maple Leafs | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 182 | 59.9%109 W · 73 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…8a3fbacked Kraken | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83d8…9a77backed Maple Leafs | 68c | 48.33$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.28 | 78 | 61.5%48 W · 30 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Kraken | 40c | 43.44$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.38 | 318 | 49.4%157 W · 161 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeed4…d04fbacked Maple Leafs | 60c | 41.67$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x767c…8606backed Kraken | 43c | 41.36$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.79 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96b6…39fbbacked Kraken | 40c | 41$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefe1…4a08backed Kraken | 41c | 40.61$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.65 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4686…5637backed Maple Leafs | 59c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.4 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8b5…6c9cbacked Kraken | 41c | 38.76$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.89 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1476…99aabacked Kraken | 42c | 38$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.96 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd2…9780backed Maple Leafs | 59c | 36.15$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.82 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +93.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1df7…0971backed Kraken | 41c | 35$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f34…3bd9backed Maple Leafs | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 31 | 74.2%23 W · 8 L | +3.6wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d4…2f06backed Maple Leafs | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefc0…2ed0backed Kraken | 41c | 33$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ad…5ef6backed Maple Leafs | 59c | 33$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.53 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00f0…22d7backed Maple Leafs | 57c | 31.42$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf946…b606backed Maple Leafs | 59c | 31.25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.81 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x894f…7e07backed Kraken | 41c | 31.25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcae2…7f3bbacked Maple Leafs | 59c | 31$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67cd…82a5backed Kraken | 41c | 31$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1f2…17febacked Kraken | 41c | 29.33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.02 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfdd3…c0a7backed Maple Leafs | 59c | 29.33$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.02 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.33per pick | 58cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f02…f54dbacked Maple Leafs | 59c | 29.22$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.98 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf67a…0d4cbacked Kraken | 41c | 29.22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.98 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bb…19a5backed Kraken | 41c | 28.42$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.65 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6b3…ac38backed Maple Leafs | 59c | 28.42$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.65 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +73.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked Kraken | 42c | 28$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 397 | 57.2%227 W · 170 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a83…29fbbacked Maple Leafs | 57c | 27.33$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa907…f3fbbacked Kraken | 41c | 27.07$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb90…164abacked Maple Leafs | 59c | 26.71$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.95 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd33b…de53backed Maple Leafs | 60c | 26.45$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd59…9e70backed Kraken | 40c | 26$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5216…f663backed Maple Leafs | 60c | 26$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9544…f3fbbacked Maple Leafs | 60c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 155 | 49.7%77 W · 78 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54f5…9093backed Maple Leafs | 60c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 86 | 38.4%33 W · 53 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb6…10d5backed Maple Leafs | 60c | 23$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ef4…ca5fbacked Maple Leafs | 59c | 22.72$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.32 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +70.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05f1…d7fdbacked Maple Leafs | 59c | 22.2$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.1 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9e…14c8backed Maple Leafs | 71c | 21.13$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdafe…e4d9backed Maple Leafs | 59c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92a0…4831backed Maple Leafs | 58c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1443…c1babacked Maple Leafs | 58c | 19.97$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f8a…641abacked Maple Leafs | 59c | 18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe16f…dff8backed Maple Leafs | 59c | 18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.