Fifa International · resolved market
Julián Quiñones: 1+ goals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x88ffe8033029c78618c7f7bd533ae3eebf1f74405276af374a5e38cd5b29f6b1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,812
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,206
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,812 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 14 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 31c | 776.33$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.14 | 2,307 | 37.6%867 W · 1,440 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked No | 68c | 365.63$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.63 | 597 | 52.1%311 W · 286 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5452…d448backed No | 69c | 354.84$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.84 | 464 | 64.9%301 W · 163 L | +26.6wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x81ed…59f5backed Yes | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.58 | 608 | 21.9%133 W · 475 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x935d…72f4backed Yes | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.5 | 119 | 49.6%59 W · 60 L | +9.1wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1862…36bcbacked Yes | 30c | 166.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.67 | 87 | 42.5%37 W · 50 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ec…a234backed Yes | 30c | 166.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.67 | 66 | 36.4%24 W · 42 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…bfecbacked No | 74c | 136.84$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.7 | 1,475 | 44.9%663 W · 812 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed No | 70c | 124.97$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.23 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e01…7ef0backed No | 75c | 106.93$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.69 | 379 | 71.2%270 W · 109 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f2…b82bbacked Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 51 | 25.5%13 W · 38 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8704…566cbacked Yes | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 65 | 84.6%55 W · 10 L | +11.4wins | +0.18per pick | 67cpaid | +29%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x233f…1481backed Yes | 30c | 35.1$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.57 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6592…2767backed Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 137 | 18.2%25 W · 112 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 35 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Julián Quiñones: 1+ goalsthis page
- Adam Hložek: 1+ goalsNo won
- Adam Hložek: 2+ goalsNo won
- Adam Hložek: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Alexis Vega: 3+ goalsNo won
- Armando González: 3+ goalsNo won
- Brian Gutiérrez: 3+ goalsNo won
- César Huerta: 2+ shotsNo won
- César Huerta: 3+ goalsNo won
- César Huerta: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Gilberto Mora: 1+ goalsNo won
- Guillermo Martínez: 1+ goalsNo won
- Guillermo Martínez: 3+ goalsNo won
- Julián Quiñones: 2+ assistsNo won
- Julián Quiñones: 2+ goalsNo won
- Julián Quiñones: 3+ goalsNo won
- Julián Quiñones: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Patrik Schick: 1+ goalsNo won
- Patrik Schick: 2+ shotsNo won
- Patrik Schick: 3+ goalsNo won
- Patrik Schick: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Raúl Jiménez: 1+ assistsNo won
- Raúl Jiménez: 1+ goalsNo won
- Raúl Jiménez: 1+ shotsNo won
- Raúl Jiménez: 2+ goalsNo won
- Raúl Jiménez: 2+ shotsNo won
- Raúl Jiménez: 3+ goalsNo won
- Raúl Jiménez: 3+ shotsNo won
- Raúl Jiménez: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Roberto Alvarado: 2+ assistsNo won
- Roberto Alvarado: 2+ goalsNo won
- Roberto Alvarado: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Santiago Giménez: 2+ shotsNo won
- Santiago Giménez: 3+ goalsNo won
- Santiago Giménez: 4+ shotsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.