Fifa International · resolved market
Patrik Schick: 1+ goals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf7fa0f75a5978b84f823c803d5b5715fe884811601989350d325e5ba86e692df
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,573
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,802
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,573 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb014…a357backed Yes | 20c | 17,002$3,473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,473.4 | 156 | 42.9%67 W · 89 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 79c | 11,768$9,354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,414.23 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 79c | 2,684$2,127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$556.74 | 2,307 | 37.6%867 W · 1,440 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…734bbacked No | 78c | 763.4$599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.69 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 24cpaid | +100.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7de3…d59bbacked Yes | 25c | 579$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.96 | 1,206 | 50.2%606 W · 600 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2f9…f703backed No | 80c | 515$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe346…9040backed Yes | 24c | 507.67$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122 | 105 | 25.7%27 W · 78 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbe…c4b7backed No | 79c | 501$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.21 | 888 | 38.2%339 W · 549 L | +37.2wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 80c | 494.51$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.26 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5102…7b08backed Yes | 16c | 281.25$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cfe…e4debacked No | 74c | 250$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 226 | 23.5%53 W · 173 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d1d…01acbacked No | 79c | 200.16$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.25 | 245 | 41.2%101 W · 144 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd21f…8570backed Yes | 21c | 155.83$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.99 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cef…2c8dbacked Yes | 21c | 118.82$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.95 | 434 | 60.4%262 W · 172 L | +33.5wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed Yes | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 283 | 37.1%105 W · 178 L | -9.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 24c | 80.88$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.41 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8812…c41abacked Yes | 25c | 60$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.82 | 452 | 54.6%247 W · 205 L | +13.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d29…5111backed No | 76c | 52.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.63 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde74…77abbacked No | 76c | 45$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 288 | 73.3%211 W · 77 L | +21.7wins | +0.08per pick | 66cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Yes | 23c | 43.98$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf511…bfe4backed No | 78c | 39.05$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.59 | 145 | 79.3%115 W · 30 L | +17.0wins | +0.12per pick | 68cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ed…d18ebacked No | 76c | 19.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.74 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked No | 76c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.6 | 454 | 72.9%331 W · 123 L | +18.8wins | +0.04per pick | 69cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd9f…a686backed No | 76c | 14.47$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.47 | 184 | 73.4%135 W · 49 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 71cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd53…76d6backed No | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +50.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 35 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Patrik Schick: 1+ goalsthis page
- Adam Hložek: 1+ goalsNo won
- Adam Hložek: 2+ goalsNo won
- Adam Hložek: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Alexis Vega: 3+ goalsNo won
- Armando González: 3+ goalsNo won
- Brian Gutiérrez: 3+ goalsNo won
- César Huerta: 2+ shotsNo won
- César Huerta: 3+ goalsNo won
- César Huerta: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Gilberto Mora: 1+ goalsNo won
- Guillermo Martínez: 1+ goalsNo won
- Guillermo Martínez: 3+ goalsNo won
- Julián Quiñones: 1+ goalsYes won
- Julián Quiñones: 2+ assistsNo won
- Julián Quiñones: 2+ goalsNo won
- Julián Quiñones: 3+ goalsNo won
- Julián Quiñones: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Patrik Schick: 2+ shotsNo won
- Patrik Schick: 3+ goalsNo won
- Patrik Schick: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Raúl Jiménez: 1+ assistsNo won
- Raúl Jiménez: 1+ goalsNo won
- Raúl Jiménez: 1+ shotsNo won
- Raúl Jiménez: 2+ goalsNo won
- Raúl Jiménez: 2+ shotsNo won
- Raúl Jiménez: 3+ goalsNo won
- Raúl Jiménez: 3+ shotsNo won
- Raúl Jiménez: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Roberto Alvarado: 2+ assistsNo won
- Roberto Alvarado: 2+ goalsNo won
- Roberto Alvarado: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Santiago Giménez: 2+ shotsNo won
- Santiago Giménez: 3+ goalsNo won
- Santiago Giménez: 4+ shotsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.