Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Hofstra Pride vs. Drexel Dragons
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x89041111153e9880e65f4a3b3c1786737165425dc40daf2d7eae9a8d48206fba
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Hofstra Prideof Hofstra Pride, Drexel Dragons
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,239
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,613
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,239 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Drexel Dragons | 9c | 4,431$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.55 | 1,173 | 25.2%296 W · 877 L | -43.0wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Drexel Dragons | 29c | 3,526$1,021 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,021.44 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Hofstra Pride | 75c | 3,301$2,466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$835.07 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x751a…9ea1backed Hofstra Pride | 46c | 1,761$817 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$943.84 | 20 | 85%17 W · 3 L | +9.4wins | +0.47per pick | 38cpaid | +463.6%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Hofstra Pride | 71c | 820$582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.8 | 1,391 | 44.1%613 W · 778 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…9c9abacked Hofstra Pride | 58c | 625$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +4.4wins | +0.30per pick | 37cpaid | +115.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Drexel Dragons | 28c | 592$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.22 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Drexel Dragons | 10c | 300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…26f0backed Hofstra Pride | 20c | 200$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 133 | 13.5%18 W · 115 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf702…7cc8backed Hofstra Pride | 75c | 186.67$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.67 | 175 | 44%77 W · 98 L | -13.5wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Hofstra Pride | 72c | 181$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.68 | 918 | 48.9%449 W · 469 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe02f…669fbacked Hofstra Pride | 20c | 150$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 88 | 14.8%13 W · 75 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa5f…3de3backed Drexel Dragons | 33c | 103$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.99 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Drexel Dragons | 19c | 91.94$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.43 | 148 | 46.6%69 W · 79 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77ed…53f7backed Hofstra Pride | 67c | 47$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.51 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66f7…2894backed Hofstra Pride | 67c | 40$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Hofstra Pride | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.9 | 614 | 46.1%283 W · 331 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Hofstra Pride | 71c | 18.78$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.45 | 490 | 43.1%211 W · 279 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x143d…5bc4backed Hofstra Pride | 67c | 16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.28 | 52 | 61.5%32 W · 20 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Hofstra Pride vs. Drexel Dragonsthis page
- Hofstra Pride vs. Drexel Dragons: O/U 134.5Over won
- Hofstra Pride vs. Drexel Dragons: O/U 135.5Over won
- Spread: Hofstra Pride (-5.5)Drexel Dragons won
- Spread: Hofstra Pride (-6.5)Drexel Dragons won
- Spread: Hofstra Pride (-7.5)Drexel Dragons won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.