Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Hofstra Pride (-7.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x98c9f07488eff9e098f0936b8f412a5b1da12bf799d801adaf0e1363f278336b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Drexel Dragonsof Hofstra Pride, Drexel Dragons
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,404
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,403
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,404 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 12 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Drexel Dragons | 57c | 1,481$844 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$637.04 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Hofstra Pride | 43c | 1,100$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473 | 401 | 47.6%191 W · 210 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Hofstra Pride | 43c | 791.29$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.29 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Drexel Dragons | 57c | 610$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.3 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Hofstra Pride | 43c | 275$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.25 | 918 | 48.9%449 W · 469 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3d8…c8c0backed Hofstra Pride | 41c | 91$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.31 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | -5.2wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Drexel Dragons | 56c | 56$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.9 | 223 | 49.3%110 W · 113 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Drexel Dragons | 56c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Drexel Dragons | 57c | 26.7$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.48 | 148 | 46.6%69 W · 79 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe13a…6bb5backed Drexel Dragons | 59c | 23$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.43 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3b3…0d89backed Drexel Dragons | 59c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +3.8wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab0…8383backed Drexel Dragons | 59c | 19$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.79 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Hofstra Pride (-7.5)this page
- Hofstra Pride vs. Drexel DragonsHofstra Pride won
- Hofstra Pride vs. Drexel Dragons: O/U 134.5Over won
- Hofstra Pride vs. Drexel Dragons: O/U 135.5Over won
- Spread: Hofstra Pride (-5.5)Drexel Dragons won
- Spread: Hofstra Pride (-6.5)Drexel Dragons won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.