Tennis · resolved market
ITF Bergamo: Filiberto Fumagalli vs Gabriele Pennaforti
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x890d8fc8b59dac99151da6721d0b96d93320bbe9a30459e8e352cf92a2616d2f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Filiberto Fumagalliof Filiberto Fumagalli, Gabriele Pennaforti
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $689
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $687
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $689 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 11 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Filiberto Fumagalli | 68c | 175.49$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.62 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8649…ba57backed Filiberto Fumagalli | 45c | 155.56$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.56 | 796 | 46%366 W · 430 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Gabriele Pennaforti | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 1,417 | 45.2%640 W · 777 L | +41.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd441…87febacked Gabriele Pennaforti | 29c | 85.15$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.69 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -3.2wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Gabriele Pennaforti | 55c | 70.64$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.68 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d0…566ebacked Filiberto Fumagalli | 50c | 58$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 485 | 52.4%254 W · 231 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Gabriele Pennaforti | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1,142 | 47.3%540 W · 602 L | +65.6wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xba1a…85febacked Gabriele Pennaforti | 62c | 40.32$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 726 | 51.8%376 W · 350 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Filiberto Fumagalli | 38c | 40.32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Filiberto Fumagalli | 69c | 38.48$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.01 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f3…d6dcbacked Gabriele Pennaforti | 55c | 25.49$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.12 | 870 | 60.2%524 W · 346 L | +28.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.