Europa Conference League · resolved market
Spread: SK Dila Gori (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8928ac9200de7933e7ede1c5f9f619e3a6220a06a9123c33d112dd10c5147ee2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- AC Virtusof SK Dila Gori, AC Virtus
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,917
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,940
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,917 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed AC Virtus | 72c | 613.47$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.71 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed SK Dila Gori | 26c | 605.05$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.91 | 1,611 | 38.8%625 W · 986 L | -19.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed AC Virtus | 71c | 466$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.14 | 2,344 | 41.6%976 W · 1,368 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked SK Dila Gori | 40c | 299.99$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.72 | 778 | 55%428 W · 350 L | +23.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1f4…dd7cbacked SK Dila Gori | 42c | 266.69$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.99 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -3.9wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6f19…b9ffbacked SK Dila Gori | 39c | 238.45$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed SK Dila Gori | 31c | 219.43$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.27 | 2,478 | 33.9%840 W · 1,638 L | -95.6wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc46e…9ed8backed AC Virtus | 61c | 163.92$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | -3.6wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed AC Virtus | 60c | 162.01$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.65 | 555 | 45.8%254 W · 301 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3b…28bdbacked SK Dila Gori | 43c | 153.04$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 122 | 42.6%52 W · 70 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0b…5720backed SK Dila Gori | 29c | 99.99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x361b…74febacked AC Virtus | 68c | 88.06$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.18 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked AC Virtus | 57c | 86.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.62 | 387 | 53%205 W · 182 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa807…cc2ebacked AC Virtus | 60c | 71.58$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.63 | 138 | 39.1%54 W · 84 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked AC Virtus | 57c | 60$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 482 | 49.8%240 W · 242 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed SK Dila Gori | 39c | 58.47$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 795 | 54.1%430 W · 365 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed SK Dila Gori | 41c | 51.8$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.24 | 237 | 53.2%126 W · 111 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab56…e635backed AC Virtus | 59c | 50.85$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.85 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e3…99a1backed AC Virtus | 61c | 40.98$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.98 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed AC Virtus | 68c | 36$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.52 | 165 | 43.6%72 W · 93 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed AC Virtus | 60c | 31.67$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.67 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed AC Virtus | 61c | 26.49$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.33 | 116 | 50.9%59 W · 57 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x580b…0522backed AC Virtus | 61c | 23.61$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.21 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +2.6wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: SK Dila Gori (-2.5)this page
- SK Dila Gori vs. AC Virtus: AC Virtus O/U 0.5Over won
- SK Dila Gori vs. AC Virtus: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- SK Dila Gori vs. AC Virtus: O/U 1.5Over won
- SK Dila Gori vs. AC Virtus: O/U 2.5Over won
- SK Dila Gori vs. AC Virtus: O/U 3.5Over won
- SK Dila Gori vs. AC Virtus: O/U 4.5Under won
- SK Dila Gori vs. AC Virtus: O/U 5.5Under won
- SK Dila Gori vs. AC Virtus: SK Dila Gori O/U 2.5Over won
- Spread: SK Dila Gori (-1.5)SK Dila Gori won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.