Europa Conference League · resolved market
SK Dila Gori vs. AC Virtus: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x970047f1e8d9da7d7ecb47c2cf766bcfe9588abbed777904d81a16a181a0f963
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,369
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,921
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,369 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3740…a935backed Under | 64c | 2,605$1,663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$941.54 | 127 | 70.9%90 W · 37 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 45c | 2,432$1,099 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,099.13 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x162c…6c47backed Under | 58c | 926.82$541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.58 | 101 | 57.4%58 W · 43 L | +7.6wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 36c | 688.63$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.61 | 2,167 | 37.6%815 W · 1,352 L | +5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 45c | 644.14$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.51 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3a…e8fdbacked Under | 43c | 603.36$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.92 | 64 | 56.3%36 W · 28 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 37c | 328.24$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.06 | 1,604 | 38.9%624 W · 980 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b99…8f62backed Over | 66c | 290.21$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -3.7wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 57c | 245.53$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.25 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Over | 39c | 244.07$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.86 | 374 | 46.8%175 W · 199 L | +27.1wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 38c | 198.13$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.68 | 1,033 | 46.1%476 W · 557 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0464…67dabacked Under | 49c | 182.82$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.2 | 363 | 56.5%205 W · 158 L | +17.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…959bbacked Under | 46c | 106.96$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.26 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2126…aeebbacked Over | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 43c | 88.36$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.63 | 795 | 32.2%256 W · 539 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdec4…046fbacked Over | 64c | 87.89$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 18cpaid | -78.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 23c | 76$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.48 | 94 | 43.6%41 W · 53 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 35c | 68.88$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.11 | 370 | 46.5%172 W · 198 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x851e…7539backed Over | 22c | 61.85$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 19c | 61$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.48 | 783 | 44.8%351 W · 432 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 78c | 60.57$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 555 | 45.8%254 W · 301 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 79c | 42$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.82 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbd…d0dfbacked Under | 42c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.4 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2754…1668backed Over | 57c | 23.1$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.1 | 29 | 75.9%22 W · 7 L | +4.7wins | +0.16per pick | 60cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Under | 52c | 23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.93 | 92 | 57.6%53 W · 39 L | +6.6wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1b90…43ffbacked Over | 63c | 19.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.59 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- SK Dila Gori vs. AC Virtus: O/U 4.5this page
- SK Dila Gori vs. AC Virtus: AC Virtus O/U 0.5Over won
- SK Dila Gori vs. AC Virtus: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- SK Dila Gori vs. AC Virtus: O/U 1.5Over won
- SK Dila Gori vs. AC Virtus: O/U 2.5Over won
- SK Dila Gori vs. AC Virtus: O/U 3.5Over won
- SK Dila Gori vs. AC Virtus: O/U 5.5Under won
- SK Dila Gori vs. AC Virtus: SK Dila Gori O/U 2.5Over won
- Spread: SK Dila Gori (-1.5)SK Dila Gori won
- Spread: SK Dila Gori (-2.5)AC Virtus won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.