Tennis · resolved market
ITF Tauste: Gianluca Carlini vs Noah Lopez Cherubino
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8937c94f9358b6b261447594e6c5c1f4b77f1768f7254ac833902040c9ca9b4e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noah Lopez Cherubinoof Gianluca Carlini, Noah Lopez Cherubino
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,098
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,948
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,098 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Gianluca Carlini | 23c | 3,928$899 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$898.57 | 11,666 | 43.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L | +22.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf8…9f45backed Gianluca Carlini | 33c | 3,032$1,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,014.52 | 229 | 39.3%90 W · 139 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f71…b2e4backed Noah Lopez Cherubino | 71c | 1,408$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.45 | 234 | 62.8%147 W · 87 L | +16.1wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Noah Lopez Cherubino | 63c | 490.88$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.5 | 6,574 | 46.2%3,037 W · 3,537 L | -45.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Noah Lopez Cherubino | 67c | 447.76$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.76 | 1,723 | 50.1%863 W · 860 L | +29.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88f2…a6c1backed Noah Lopez Cherubino | 71c | 355.81$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.18 | 167 | 56.3%94 W · 73 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Gianluca Carlini | 42c | 271.71$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.79 | 323 | 29.7%96 W · 227 L | -12.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8f4…6794backed Noah Lopez Cherubino | 75c | 199.39$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 378 | 53.7%203 W · 175 L | +12.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Noah Lopez Cherubino | 31c | 194.36$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.36 | 2,639 | 46.4%1,224 W · 1,415 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Gianluca Carlini | 41c | 185.17$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.22 | 8,702 | 42.6%3,708 W · 4,994 L | -165.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02f0…9bb3backed Gianluca Carlini | 49c | 182$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.18 | 171 | 36.3%62 W · 109 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3d…4d49backed Noah Lopez Cherubino | 65c | 136$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.6 | 255 | 46.7%119 W · 136 L | -11.8wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Noah Lopez Cherubino | 35c | 128.57$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.57 | 3,457 | 38.9%1,345 W · 2,112 L | -15.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6f8…df87backed Gianluca Carlini | 28c | 117.85$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 155 | 50.3%78 W · 77 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd928…705fbacked Gianluca Carlini | 31c | 116.45$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.05 | 297 | 52.9%157 W · 140 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8e4…3b32backed Gianluca Carlini | 50c | 98.71$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.76 | 539 | 46.9%253 W · 286 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8543…ff1bbacked Gianluca Carlini | 24c | 73.28$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.36 | 223 | 35.4%79 W · 144 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -30%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Gianluca Carlini | 24c | 69.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.88 | 1,878 | 53.2%1,000 W · 878 L | +30.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2326…b627backed Noah Lopez Cherubino | 76c | 55.42$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 1,289 | 65.2%841 W · 448 L | +11.0wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Noah Lopez Cherubino | 26c | 49.99$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.86 | 1,870 | 16%299 W · 1,571 L | -314.3wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 32-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x5e50…c665backed Noah Lopez Cherubino | 47c | 43.69$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.23 | 363 | 39.4%143 W · 220 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33c4…85c2backed Noah Lopez Cherubino | 71c | 33.05$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.56 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Noah Lopez Cherubino | 54c | 24.97$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.41 | 6,792 | 36.9%2,505 W · 4,287 L | -98.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3459…caa6backed Noah Lopez Cherubino | 66c | 24.07$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.07 | 267 | 48.7%130 W · 137 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d10…780bbacked Noah Lopez Cherubino | 69c | 21.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.74 | 1,036 | 54.2%562 W · 474 L | +38.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c2…b14dbacked Noah Lopez Cherubino | 72c | 17.86$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.04 | 32 | 71.9%23 W · 9 L | +3.6wins | +0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe766…7843backed Noah Lopez Cherubino | 67c | 16.41$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.46 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | -4.1wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5c1e…1719backed Noah Lopez Cherubino | 72c | 16.33$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.49 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd033…d4c6backed Noah Lopez Cherubino | 72c | 16.14$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.55 | 44 | 77.3%34 W · 10 L | +6.9wins | +0.16per pick | 62cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.