Tennis · resolved market
Open Capfinances Rouen Metropole, Qualification: Iryna Shymanovich vs Ekaterina Kazionova
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x89409c0aa9a8d033b7f66e73069b905e731f8f26999b6a9572ed6ad04a9fe3d7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Iryna Shymanovichof Iryna Shymanovich, Ekaterina Kazionova
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $54,903
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $56,072
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $54,903 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Ekaterina Kazionova | 7c | 23,647$1,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,589.55 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Ekaterina Kazionova | 7c | 8,032$562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$562.26 | 341 | 36.4%124 W · 217 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Iryna Shymanovich | 74c | 3,074$2,275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$799.31 | 174 | 52.9%92 W · 82 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x223f…2050backed Ekaterina Kazionova | 23c | 1,480$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.04 | 507 | 31.2%158 W · 349 L | -41.2wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Ekaterina Kazionova | 26c | 1,448$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.53 | 253 | 42.7%108 W · 145 L | +8.2wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Ekaterina Kazionova | 6c | 1,330$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.79 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed Ekaterina Kazionova | 27c | 1,196$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.79 | 277 | 33.6%93 W · 184 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Ekaterina Kazionova | 7c | 776.42$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.45 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Ekaterina Kazionova | 9c | 501.11$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.46 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Ekaterina Kazionova | 8c | 317.82$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.43 | 442 | 29.6%131 W · 311 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a18…61a0backed Iryna Shymanovich | 74c | 305.96$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.55 | 521 | 55.3%288 W · 233 L | +27.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x684d…e35bbacked Ekaterina Kazionova | 6c | 292.15$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.88 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -3.5wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xec18…89ebbacked Ekaterina Kazionova | 13c | 247.14$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -2.6wins | -0.14per pick | 35cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Ekaterina Kazionova | 26c | 179.5$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.93 | 977 | 45.2%442 W · 535 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked Ekaterina Kazionova | 26c | 150$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 292 | 30.5%89 W · 203 L | -11.9wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e41…b875backed Iryna Shymanovich | 72c | 135.83$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.48 | 711 | 65.1%463 W · 248 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Ekaterina Kazionova | 25c | 133.33$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.33 | 582 | 32%186 W · 396 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84b9…fb1cbacked Iryna Shymanovich | 75c | 131.33$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.83 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 73cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Ekaterina Kazionova | 11c | 130.94$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.96 | 567 | 54.5%309 W · 258 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Ekaterina Kazionova | 17c | 120.56$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x9694…b7adbacked Ekaterina Kazionova | 28c | 104.98$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.39 | 2,058 | 59.5%1,225 W · 833 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…3813backed Ekaterina Kazionova | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 1,168 | 49.1%573 W · 595 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Ekaterina Kazionova | 27c | 99.99$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 1,240 | 41.2%511 W · 729 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa15f…ad19backed Iryna Shymanovich | 74c | 99.77$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.94 | 92 | 57.6%53 W · 39 L | -6.6wins | -0.07per pick | 65cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x07e3…37b1backed Iryna Shymanovich | 74c | 98.44$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.59 | 112 | 63.4%71 W · 41 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3a9…1dcbbacked Ekaterina Kazionova | 15c | 85.01$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.14 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Ekaterina Kazionova | 31c | 78.58$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.36 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Iryna Shymanovich | 69c | 75.57$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.43 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x305b…cd21backed Iryna Shymanovich | 73c | 67.38$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.19 | 550 | 59.1%325 W · 225 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Ekaterina Kazionova | 27c | 54.31$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.66 | 433 | 53.6%232 W · 201 L | +32.2wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbd76…22febacked Ekaterina Kazionova | 29c | 47.2$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.69 | 57 | 57.9%33 W · 24 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Iryna Shymanovich | 73c | 40.43$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.92 | 2,561 | 63%1,613 W · 948 L | -10.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb69…c3e5backed Iryna Shymanovich | 72c | 34.89$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.77 | 1,076 | 55.5%597 W · 479 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77d4…3983backed Iryna Shymanovich | 72c | 17.5$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.9 | 97 | 50.5%49 W · 48 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.