Fifa International · resolved market
Slovenia leading at halftime?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x896781fb82f66596a30fa573baca061860d3506c698212b828b96e8a83e60517
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,418
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,351
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,418 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdd16…5cf0backed Yes | 51c | 944.79$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477.18 | 118 | 20.3%24 W · 94 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 51c | 550.76$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.78 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9df2…99f5backed Yes | 5c | 499.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 160 | 40.6%65 W · 95 L | +7.0wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -12%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 51c | 495$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.67 | 1,688 | 54.4%918 W · 770 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 69c | 478.91$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.8 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1f3…5187backed Yes | 49c | 406.06$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 80 | 32.5%26 W · 54 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf703…541abacked Yes | 49c | 242.96$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 180 | 40%72 W · 108 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Yes | 5c | 230$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 227 | 31.7%72 W · 155 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 48c | 185.91$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.67 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked Yes | 22c | 185$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1,388 | 15.1%210 W · 1,178 L | -16.0wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked No | 49c | 179$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.29 | 597 | 52.1%311 W · 286 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d96…7c16backed No | 50c | 103.92$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.96 | 116 | 54.3%63 W · 53 L | +8.3wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca43…b369backed Yes | 48c | 99.92$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.96 | 311 | 56.6%176 W · 135 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 49c | 99.06$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.54 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Yes | 49c | 56$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.44 | 397 | 46.3%184 W · 213 L | -28.9wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa383…a2f0backed No | 50c | 51$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.73 | 71 | 50.7%36 W · 35 L | +5.4wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6b…2f6abacked Yes | 49c | 43.96$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.63 | 152 | 47.4%72 W · 80 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8687…1db0backed Yes | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 48 | 31.3%15 W · 33 L | -6.9wins | -0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 51c | 40.1$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.65 | 277 | 45.1%125 W · 152 L | -19.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d0…0736backed Yes | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 315 | 43.5%137 W · 178 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed No | 50c | 29.08$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 244 | 48.4%118 W · 126 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe569…e759backed Yes | 51c | 26.78$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.66 | 524 | 41.4%217 W · 307 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Slovenia leading at halftime?this page
- Cyprus leading at halftime?Yes won
- Slovenia vs. Cyprus: Draw at halftime?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.