Tennis · resolved market
Set Handicap: Darderi (-1.5) vs Hijikata (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x89706327e2995bc659f5a08c06501d8d604d545d0be7c1d4e31230c357ef1d0d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Hijikataof Darderi, Hijikata
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,819
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,819 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Darderi | 47c | 4,259$1,998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,998.41 | 174 | 52.9%92 W · 82 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3de6…405cbacked Hijikata | 53c | 1,887$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$886.79 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81b0…6592backed Hijikata | 53c | 1,270$672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$597.78 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e83…d461backed Hijikata | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.22per pick | 50cpaid | +54.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Darderi | 8c | 373.79$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.49 | 1,379 | 16.4%226 W · 1,153 L | -108.5wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa446…d9c6backed Hijikata | 54c | 355.45$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.15 | 153 | 54.2%83 W · 70 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Hijikata | 68c | 275.48$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.13 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Darderi | 46c | 220$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.2 | 1,489 | 32.6%486 W · 1,003 L | +22.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x046c…2a9cbacked Darderi | 28c | 161.11$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 352 | 47.2%166 W · 186 L | -23.2wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…13e5backed Darderi | 44c | 135$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.87 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -4.8wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe649…4e37backed Hijikata | 58c | 82$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.52 | 1,414 | 41.1%581 W · 833 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7108…a418backed Darderi | 46c | 75.75$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +3.0wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Darderi | 41c | 52$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.32 | 254 | 33.5%85 W · 169 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Hijikata | 70c | 49.77$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.96 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Darderi | 48c | 30.12$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.46 | 1,245 | 33.9%422 W · 823 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14e6…90f4backed Darderi | 46c | 30.09$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.84 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Hijikata | 54c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 381 | 47%179 W · 202 L | +9.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Darderi | 48c | 27.78$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.29 | 1,809 | 43.8%793 W · 1,016 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Hijikata | 75c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 2,343 | 51.6%1,209 W · 1,134 L | +95.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Hijikata | 54c | 23.66$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.96 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbee…30b9backed Hijikata | 56c | 21.43$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.43 | 76 | 48.7%37 W · 39 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set Handicap: Darderi (-1.5) vs Hijikata (+1.5)this page
- BNP Paribas Open: Rinky Hijikata vs Luciano DarderiRinky Hijikata won
- Set 1 Winner: Hijikata vs DarderiDarderi won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.