Tennis · resolved market
Santiago: Juan Pablo Ficovich vs Facundo Mena
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8977b3018df53269cf7b5e6970b60467277811a20b8bd238df5f20295add4ac2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Facundo Menaof Juan Pablo Ficovich, Facundo Mena
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,810
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,810 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Juan Pablo Ficovich | 11c | 3,727$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.16 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ffb…e82abacked Juan Pablo Ficovich | 25c | 2,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.99 | 440 | 38.4%169 W · 271 L | -27.2wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -29%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Facundo Mena | 79c | 992.41$784 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.64 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Juan Pablo Ficovich | 6c | 758.96$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.63 | 1,410 | 38.4%542 W · 868 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Facundo Mena | 54c | 380.65$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.1 | 295 | 33.6%99 W · 196 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Facundo Mena | 73c | 281.32$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.56 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Facundo Mena | 53c | 275.12$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.91 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Juan Pablo Ficovich | 44c | 226.45$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,768 | 43.2%764 W · 1,004 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Facundo Mena | 64c | 224$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.19 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb31…7b95backed Juan Pablo Ficovich | 23c | 218.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 680 | 26.2%178 W · 502 L | -24.5wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Facundo Mena | 77c | 163.88$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.76 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb69…c3e5backed Facundo Mena | 61c | 159.99$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.4 | 1,076 | 55.5%597 W · 479 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Facundo Mena | 68c | 148$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.51 | 970 | 46.6%452 W · 518 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Juan Pablo Ficovich | 43c | 124.7$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.32 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf026…8df7backed Facundo Mena | 69c | 124$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.75 | 373 | 42.6%159 W · 214 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84c7…bea7backed Juan Pablo Ficovich | 41c | 121.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 664 | 52.3%347 W · 317 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ace…3afdbacked Juan Pablo Ficovich | 39c | 120$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.8 | 121 | 52.1%63 W · 58 L | +7.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Facundo Mena | 65c | 114$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.34 | 990 | 44.8%444 W · 546 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Facundo Mena | 60c | 112.3$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.02 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91c0…e4ccbacked Juan Pablo Ficovich | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 515 | 39.8%205 W · 310 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Facundo Mena | 63c | 97.02$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.13 | 779 | 67.8%528 W · 251 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Juan Pablo Ficovich | 17c | 92.13$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.66 | 1,284 | 39.2%503 W · 781 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddf5…aaa3backed Juan Pablo Ficovich | 39c | 89.74$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 692 | 53.3%369 W · 323 L | -10.4wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd88a…1eefbacked Juan Pablo Ficovich | 40c | 70$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 544 | 34.2%186 W · 358 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53c5…cb95backed Facundo Mena | 75c | 66.2$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.55 | 242 | 44.6%108 W · 134 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc59f…f632backed Facundo Mena | 60c | 61.65$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.51 | 83 | 61.4%51 W · 32 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Juan Pablo Ficovich | 16c | 61.2$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x0e0a…745dbacked Juan Pablo Ficovich | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 292 | 44.5%130 W · 162 L | -8.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc03c…3138backed Facundo Mena | 76c | 41.41$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.04 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -7.7wins | -0.16per pick | 59cpaid | -32%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Facundo Mena | 60c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 1,809 | 43.8%793 W · 1,016 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Juan Pablo Ficovich | 38c | 37$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.23 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2fc…a7c1backed Facundo Mena | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Facundo Mena | 59c | 30.17$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.23 | 1,973 | 46.3%914 W · 1,059 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe766…404dbacked Juan Pablo Ficovich | 37c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 73 | 42.5%31 W · 42 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6322…8ba6backed Juan Pablo Ficovich | 41c | 29.33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff1…4766backed Juan Pablo Ficovich | 41c | 28.71$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.77 | 167 | 62.3%104 W · 63 L | +9.8wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Juan Pablo Ficovich | 43c | 26.42$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.35 | 381 | 47%179 W · 202 L | +9.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8027…cf81backed Facundo Mena | 56c | 23.65$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.32 | 308 | 53.6%165 W · 143 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5358…44e8backed Juan Pablo Ficovich | 50c | 21.32$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.66 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x622b…5a4abacked Facundo Mena | 55c | 20.47$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.16 | 350 | 40.9%143 W · 207 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.