Tennis · resolved market
Set 1 Winner: Popyrin vs Tirante
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x897efb4de8ca866c044072682eee77f10e57e70629f88bbcf57b1e98a2505954
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Tiranteof Popyrin, Tirante
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,834
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,960
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,834 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Tirante | 45c | 732$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.6 | 2,375 | 51.1%1,213 W · 1,162 L | +8.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50ca…bfddbacked Tirante | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 603 | 42%253 W · 350 L | +11.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Popyrin | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe229…d9b2backed Popyrin | 54c | 218.53$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 59cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc7…62b9backed Popyrin | 55c | 215$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…56efbacked Popyrin | 55c | 210$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.34per pick | 59cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93a7…e8d3backed Popyrin | 55c | 209$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.95 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c5e…8819backed Popyrin | 55c | 201.18$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a6a…56bdbacked Tirante | 46c | 126.13$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.74 | 603 | 41.1%248 W · 355 L | -26.8wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Popyrin | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Tirante | 45c | 99.53$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.74 | 2,174 | 36.9%802 W · 1,372 L | +39.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Tirante | 46c | 99$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.46 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57f1…5ecfbacked Popyrin | 55c | 98$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.9 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 58cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Popyrin | 48c | 83.32$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Tirante | 46c | 72.46$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.13 | 2,854 | 39.5%1,126 W · 1,728 L | -83.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Tirante | 45c | 71.18$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.15 | 1,510 | 37.7%569 W · 941 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set 1 Winner: Popyrin vs Tirantethis page
- National Bank Open: Alexei Popyrin vs Thiago Agustin TiranteThiago Agustin Tirante won
- Popyrin vs. Tirante: Match O/U 21.5Under won
- Popyrin vs. Tirante: Match O/U 23.5Under won
- Set 2 Winner: Popyrin vs TiranteTirante won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.