TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Mls · resolved market

New England Revolution vs. Toronto FC: O/U 0.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$14,922
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$14,999

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,922 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Mls
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb10b…0b04backed Under13c6,411$825 inWon+$5,585.673531.4%11 W · 24 L-3.0wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-19.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over53c2,198$1,171 inLost-$1,171.4599340.1%398 W · 595 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under54c1,368$743 inWon+$624.41,44436.8%532 W · 912 L-12.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-17.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over77c951.98$734 inLost-$734.0398945.4%449 W · 540 L-23.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x91fe…c1c6backed Over75c734.27$551 inLost-$551.3838246.1%176 W · 206 L+13.2wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+10.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed Over58c700$406 inLost-$4064242.9%18 W · 24 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeef9…8731backed Over77c480$370 inLost-$369.610%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.77per pick77cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ad5…62ffbacked Over36c395.76$143 inLost-$142.8511633.6%39 W · 77 L-7.0wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-31.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x97b2…1c44backed Over50c200$100 inLost-$1002133.3%7 W · 14 L-2.9wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-32.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0fa1…bf73backed Over65c199.99$130 inLost-$129.9910249%50 W · 52 L-4.5wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Over45c133.33$60 inLost-$609250%46 W · 46 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf423…31c4backed Under38c123.15$47 inWon+$76.13145.2%14 W · 17 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Under52c101.28$52 inWon+$48.9523350.6%118 W · 115 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe5f6…73fabacked Over57c96.49$55 inLost-$551241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-36%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e08…19cabacked Over70c71.43$50 inLost-$502657.7%15 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe24f…0c5abacked Over48c66$32 inLost-$31.681315.4%2 W · 11 L-4.8wins-0.37per pick52cpaid-72.6%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Under24c48.26$12 inWon+$36.6853040.6%215 W · 315 L-2.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid+6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x47d9…54b7backed Under73c42.38$31 inWon+$11.49450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-32.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0954…012abacked Over48c41.67$20 inLost-$202352.2%12 W · 11 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+27.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1a97…90b1backed Over55c31.14$17 inLost-$17.071963.2%12 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x82ca…3135backed Over70c20.9$15 inLost-$14.552161.9%13 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x179e…5fb1backed Over65c20$13 inLost-$1310%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7dde…30b1backed Over65c15.64$10 inLost-$10.182157.1%12 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c6d…e91cbacked Over71c15$11 inLost-$10.652080%16 W · 4 L+1.8wins+0.09per pick71cpaid+13%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.