Tennis · resolved market
Quebec City: SoonWoo Kwon vs Andrea Guerrieri
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x89a1cb9cf4d5a5eff3e185b4adc2274bed3e8c1c6f9623ad7704fc61f0e63b6f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- SoonWoo Kwonof SoonWoo Kwon, Andrea Guerrieri
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $45,371
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $41,182
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,371 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Andrea Guerrieri | 8c | 8,101$624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$624.05 | 9,038 | 36.1%3,266 W · 5,772 L | -196.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca97…49f6backed Andrea Guerrieri | 16c | 7,500$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 104 | 48.1%50 W · 54 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef36…85e6backed Andrea Guerrieri | 15c | 6,389$952 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$951.99 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked SoonWoo Kwon | 74c | 4,000$2,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040 | 6,652 | 50.7%3,373 W · 3,279 L | +263.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Andrea Guerrieri | 7c | 1,428$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.14 | 4,341 | 52.3%2,271 W · 2,070 L | +63.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Andrea Guerrieri | 19c | 600$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.38 | 9,374 | 44.3%4,154 W · 5,220 L | -244.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d26…f4f8backed Andrea Guerrieri | 5c | 551.39$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 86 | 16.3%14 W · 72 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 13cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55a8…e802backed Andrea Guerrieri | 27c | 518.52$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 363 | 42.1%153 W · 210 L | -16.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed SoonWoo Kwon | 77c | 492.51$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.28 | 950 | 50.1%476 W · 474 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x365f…706abacked Andrea Guerrieri | 10c | 427.54$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.31 | 1,824 | 46.5%849 W · 975 L | +20.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e0e…2ca8backed Andrea Guerrieri | 6c | 392$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.52 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -59.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42d6…01ccbacked SoonWoo Kwon | 74c | 337.84$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.84 | 1,077 | 62.8%676 W · 401 L | -27.9wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40e9…494fbacked Andrea Guerrieri | 11c | 228.85$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.13 | 569 | 26%148 W · 421 L | -23.2wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Andrea Guerrieri | 11c | 191.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.31 | 1,512 | 24.1%364 W · 1,148 L | -41.1wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Andrea Guerrieri | 9c | 135.08$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.41 | 2,839 | 47.2%1,340 W · 1,499 L | +38.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Andrea Guerrieri | 15c | 126.93$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.04 | 2,887 | 39.5%1,141 W · 1,746 L | -84.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Andrea Guerrieri | 14c | 124.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 1,766 | 45.9%810 W · 956 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4093…5749backed SoonWoo Kwon | 77c | 115.32$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.52 | 2,868 | 49.5%1,419 W · 1,449 L | +23.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x012d…9db6backed SoonWoo Kwon | 77c | 101.3$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.3 | 855 | 68.3%584 W · 271 L | +24.6wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Andrea Guerrieri | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 72 | 52.8%38 W · 34 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Andrea Guerrieri | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2,043 | 47.8%977 W · 1,066 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39dc…fc23backed Andrea Guerrieri | 12c | 99.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 1,904 | 44.1%839 W · 1,065 L | -16.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9307…9da3backed SoonWoo Kwon | 79c | 40.96$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.78 | 80 | 72.5%58 W · 22 L | +10.2wins | +0.13per pick | 60cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x08c8…016abacked SoonWoo Kwon | 75c | 24$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 375 | 58.1%218 W · 157 L | -17.8wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x48f0…810bbacked SoonWoo Kwon | 77c | 19.48$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.48 | 28 | 78.6%22 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 73cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeedc…d4c0backed SoonWoo Kwon | 77c | 17.83$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.1 | 156 | 69.9%109 W · 47 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed SoonWoo Kwon | 73c | 16.11$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.3 | 4,602 | 67.8%3,119 W · 1,483 L | +309.9wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.