CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Rooster vs DXA Esports (BO3) - Dfrag Open Series #5 Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x89eae6d8c5a29ee841435a9deb9042dd79e836ad8b439f199815938e51cfc5f5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Roosterof Rooster, DXA Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,337
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,464
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,337 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf5ec…23bdbacked Rooster | 76c | 1,700$1,292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf01f…e8fbbacked DXA Esports | 24c | 1,700$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408 | 82 | 30.5%25 W · 57 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17d3…586bbacked Rooster | 78c | 819.62$637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.86 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc564…e89dbacked Rooster | 79c | 500$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 209 | 44.5%93 W · 116 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed DXA Esports | 20c | 400$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Rooster | 78c | 383.8$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.6 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed DXA Esports | 22c | 353.21$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.92 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1242…9077backed Rooster | 70c | 309.82$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.82 | 117 | 45.3%53 W · 64 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e0a…e207backed DXA Esports | 14c | 293.32$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.8 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ece…3b9bbacked Rooster | 76c | 225$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 48 | 66.7%32 W · 16 L | +3.9wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x50dc…b61abacked DXA Esports | 24c | 225$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.75 | 72 | 29.2%21 W · 51 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +14%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed DXA Esports | 21c | 211.9$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.48 | 780 | 43.7%341 W · 439 L | -21.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ee4…ed67backed DXA Esports | 25c | 204.06$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.81 | 193 | 40.4%78 W · 115 L | -10.1wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d4…9c83backed DXA Esports | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1982…bc7bbacked DXA Esports | 30c | 197.56$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.15 | 318 | 45.3%144 W · 174 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed DXA Esports | 18c | 188.75$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.16 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xefa3…7585backed Rooster | 76c | 175.07$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.43 | 773 | 51.2%396 W · 377 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc29c…1e43backed DXA Esports | 23c | 170.9$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 236 | 54.7%129 W · 107 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Rooster | 78c | 169.58$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.27 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x05a8…9c7fbacked DXA Esports | 36c | 151.82$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.16per pick | 36cpaid | +110.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa44a…88ecbacked DXA Esports | 24c | 145.83$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Rooster | 79c | 133.9$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.17 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d60…6df2backed DXA Esports | 24c | 126.66$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.92 | 126 | 54.8%69 W · 57 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa99c…21eebacked DXA Esports | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50dc…ef30backed DXA Esports | 26c | 119.23$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed DXA Esports | 25c | 117.05$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.12 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Rooster | 80c | 104.75$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.29 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Rooster | 74c | 93.14$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.22 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8da3…7c12backed Rooster | 78c | 90$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.38 | 523 | 69.4%363 W · 160 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Rooster | 78c | 82.09$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.22 | 965 | 43.5%420 W · 545 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked DXA Esports | 22c | 81.3$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.9 | 2,110 | 47.2%995 W · 1,115 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa6…03ebbacked DXA Esports | 22c | 80$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 956 | 42.6%407 W · 549 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x969f…cbdcbacked Rooster | 77c | 63.21$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.51 | 627 | 38.8%243 W · 384 L | -31.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -30%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9311…e731backed Rooster | 79c | 60$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 67 | 59.7%40 W · 27 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca8…7e67backed DXA Esports | 22c | 59.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 123 | 43.9%54 W · 69 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7e8…7953backed Rooster | 67c | 59.7$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.7 | 404 | 49.8%201 W · 203 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e46…8c1cbacked Rooster | 77c | 53.18$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.23 | 236 | 54.7%129 W · 107 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked DXA Esports | 28c | 51.44$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.31 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Rooster | 78c | 48.22$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.81 | 1,710 | 52.3%895 W · 815 L | -73.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d2…ab03backed Rooster | 80c | 42.5$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.5 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9991…36b8backed Rooster | 78c | 41.64$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.25 | 217 | 55.8%121 W · 96 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked DXA Esports | 30c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2,473 | 34.6%855 W · 1,618 L | -188.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…ca84backed DXA Esports | 28c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 321 | 39.9%128 W · 193 L | -13.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked DXA Esports | 29c | 38.48$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.07 | 675 | 47.3%319 W · 356 L | -9.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Rooster | 74c | 38.23$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.94 | 919 | 45.8%421 W · 498 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d0…566ebacked Rooster | 80c | 37.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 101 | 54.5%55 W · 46 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4270…6168backed Rooster | 78c | 26.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.84 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5135…7217backed Rooster | 76c | 24.98$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.99 | 1,620 | 52.7%853 W · 767 L | +57.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…8d97backed Rooster | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 326 | 62%202 W · 124 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa45d…93f1backed Rooster | 80c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.6 | 142 | 50.7%72 W · 70 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36d9…c3cabacked Rooster | 73c | 16.47$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.45 | 199 | 54.8%109 W · 90 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Rooster | 78c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.52 | 284 | 55.6%158 W · 126 L | +15.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x82a5…674ebacked Rooster | 75c | 13.72$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.43 | 274 | 52.2%143 W · 131 L | -10.9wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Rooster vs DXA Esports (BO3) - Dfrag Open Series #5 Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: Rooster vs DXA Esports - Map 1 WinnerRooster won
- Counter-Strike: Rooster vs DXA Esports - Map 2 WinnerRooster won
- Map Handicap: RSTR (-1.5) vs DXA Esports (+1.5)Rooster won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.