Tennis · resolved market
Set 1 Winner: Etcheverry vs Draper
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x89ef6b21df03b5ab9eb5fc0dc1f23cba52d05f15cec5d4cac249be323c29010b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Draperof Etcheverry, Draper
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,899
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,073
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,899 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Draper | 49c | 488.57$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.05 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa56f…ee5fbacked Draper | 32c | 299.75$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.83 | 83 | 53%44 W · 39 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a73…a9c8backed Draper | 57c | 257.45$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.7 | 625 | 34.4%215 W · 410 L | -20.1wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d2a…d5d0backed Etcheverry | 61c | 217.05$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.4 | 247 | 62.3%154 W · 93 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Etcheverry | 68c | 169.83$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.49 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Etcheverry | 55c | 156.38$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.24 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4be6…b010backed Etcheverry | 57c | 135.02$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.96 | 1,428 | 48.2%689 W · 739 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5887…994ebacked Draper | 57c | 132.64$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.6 | 198 | 51%101 W · 97 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Draper | 47c | 111.55$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.94 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cdf…8666backed Etcheverry | 22c | 107.85$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.01 | 246 | 32.9%81 W · 165 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Etcheverry | 57c | 88.35$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.06 | 2,523 | 39.6%1,000 W · 1,523 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda74…1ab0backed Draper | 56c | 86.93$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.25 | 945 | 49.6%469 W · 476 L | -23.7wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Draper | 32c | 85.83$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.75 | 653 | 46.4%303 W · 350 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Etcheverry | 50c | 81.86$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.93 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd205…e7fbbacked Draper | 60c | 74.35$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.74 | 310 | 39.4%122 W · 188 L | -10.6wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbef…0c11backed Etcheverry | 66c | 74.28$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.98 | 681 | 57.6%392 W · 289 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c04…8c0abacked Etcheverry | 60c | 68.32$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.99 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 47cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Draper | 59c | 64.35$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.54 | 2,118 | 55.9%1,185 W · 933 L | +40.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c0…dadabacked Etcheverry | 56c | 60.07$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.64 | 546 | 34.4%188 W · 358 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Draper | 40c | 60$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6508…1077backed Etcheverry | 28c | 59.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 584 | 38.2%223 W · 361 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3191…e118backed Draper | 34c | 59.35$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.17 | 148 | 29.1%43 W · 105 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfa8…6e47backed Etcheverry | 60c | 58.56$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.14 | 100 | 57%57 W · 43 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Etcheverry | 66c | 51.79$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.18 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb172…ffa1backed Etcheverry | 42c | 48.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.46 | 148 | 28.4%42 W · 106 L | -8.5wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Draper | 60c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 450 | 51.8%233 W · 217 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d5…3542backed Draper | 53c | 22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.34 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +46.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce1…a25dbacked Etcheverry | 80c | 19.76$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.76 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set 1 Winner: Etcheverry vs Draperthis page
- Barcelona Open: Tomas Etcheverry vs Jack DraperTomas Etcheverry won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.