CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Prospect vs LEO - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8a0544ea8d3f4dbb09118e480ccb882b67897ba643388d0ef3ae30afb24b3e94
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- LEOof Inner Circle Prospect, LEO
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,720
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,739
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,720 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7460…de6ebacked Inner Circle Prospect | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 439 | 51.7%227 W · 212 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb7e…9546backed LEO | 50c | 698.75$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.38 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x488a…cb68backed LEO | 50c | 550.6$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.3 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff45…4bc2backed Inner Circle Prospect | 28c | 530$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.4 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e19…d2b0backed LEO | 59c | 499.64$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.17 | 527 | 50.7%267 W · 260 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7437…142dbacked LEO | 50c | 433$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.5 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked LEO | 43c | 361.82$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.75 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Inner Circle Prospect | 20c | 298.09$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.42 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x31fd…e144backed LEO | 50c | 260$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 275 | 44%121 W · 154 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bec…7800backed LEO | 50c | 246.9$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.45 | 334 | 48.2%161 W · 173 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked LEO | 72c | 179.58$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.68 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ade…fb15backed LEO | 50c | 160$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 197 | 48.7%96 W · 101 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd95d…2ab5backed LEO | 53c | 154.9$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.09 | 325 | 44.3%144 W · 181 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae5…72d2backed LEO | 76c | 132.71$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.88 | 201 | 54.7%110 W · 91 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa369…3ad6backed LEO | 67c | 127.83$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.05 | 331 | 46.5%154 W · 177 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c8b…7a07backed Inner Circle Prospect | 21c | 111.58$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.43 | 211 | 59.7%126 W · 85 L | +9.2wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x050e…d92fbacked LEO | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 222 | 57.2%127 W · 95 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcae8…63e6backed LEO | 15c | 68$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.8 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 14cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc2…a9ebbacked LEO | 50c | 58.59$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.3 | 62 | 58.1%36 W · 26 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc064…6fa8backed Inner Circle Prospect | 77c | 35.06$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 196 | 58.2%114 W · 82 L | +11.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd7dc…4f6ebacked Inner Circle Prospect | 55c | 29.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.49 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d21…6774backed LEO | 66c | 21.31$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +52.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…2318backed Inner Circle Prospect | 57c | 18.18$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.36 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.14per pick | 61cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3e95…5b64backed Inner Circle Prospect | 57c | 18.18$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.36 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.7wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Prospect vs LEO - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Prospect vs LEO (BO3) - United21 PlayoffsLEO won
- Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Prospect vs LEO - Map 1 WinnerLEO won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.