Premier League · resolved market
Will AFC Wimbledon win on 2026-08-08?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8a1122481f5369cf52af223c81ad2884deb2f2f9ea71c4667b8c1d993ca544c6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,391
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,379
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,391 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 69c | 2,513$1,743 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$769.42 | 1,012 | 33.2%336 W · 676 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 31c | 1,899$589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588.62 | 768 | 42.6%327 W · 441 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa18c…d792backed Yes | 55c | 783.14$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430.73 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 22c | 716.29$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.13 | 886 | 35.8%317 W · 569 L | -13.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 46c | 499.5$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.77 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 45c | 277$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.35 | 964 | 43.7%421 W · 543 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 45c | 277$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.35 | 1,224 | 42.3%518 W · 706 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 45c | 277$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.35 | 1,074 | 45%483 W · 591 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 44c | 178$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.39 | 1,615 | 53%856 W · 759 L | +33.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81a9…df08backed Yes | 56c | 178$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.68 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked No | 44c | 150$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 154 | 44.8%69 W · 85 L | -8.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed No | 45c | 148$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.99 | 101 | 63.4%64 W · 37 L | +8.3wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Yes | 47c | 103.77$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.77 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5317…9a3bbacked No | 44c | 92.52$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.81 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Yes | 57c | 69$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.33 | 118 | 44.9%53 W · 65 L | -8.8wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -18%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 41c | 47.86$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.1 | 1,220 | 49.8%607 W · 613 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e72…c55fbacked Yes | 58c | 43.97$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 52c | 35.69$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.05 | 157 | 49.7%78 W · 79 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb502…9d8bbacked Yes | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a7…ace4backed No | 74c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.95 | 42 | 66.7%28 W · 14 L | +4.7wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will AFC Wimbledon win on 2026-08-08?this page
- Will AFC Wimbledon vs. Newport County AFC end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Newport County AFC win on 2026-08-08?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.