TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Spread: Utah Tech Trailblazers (-3.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Utah Tech Trailblazersof Utah Tech Trailblazers, Abilene Christian Wildcats
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$21,618
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$21,602

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,618 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x163e…dc5bbacked Abilene Christian Wildcats57c20,000$11,400 inLost-$11,40012754.3%69 W · 58 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Utah Tech Trailblazers43c19,504$8,387 inWon+$11,117.3169142.8%296 W · 395 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb14…bd17backed Utah Tech Trailblazers53c892.15$472 inWon+$420.416350.9%83 W · 80 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Abilene Christian Wildcats47c526.2$247 inLost-$247.312,25442.2%951 W · 1,303 L+3.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Utah Tech Trailblazers43c253.38$109 inWon+$144.374,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2cec…5326backed Abilene Christian Wildcats48c210.03$100 inLost-$100.0285248.8%416 W · 436 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Abilene Christian Wildcats54c174.47$94 inLost-$93.595,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xb0fd…e1f5backed Abilene Christian Wildcats54c149.88$81 inLost-$80.941,16255.2%641 W · 521 L+25.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Utah Tech Trailblazers46c137.99$64 inWon+$74.322,89650%1,448 W · 1,448 L+71.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Abilene Christian Wildcats48c134.62$64 inLost-$64.55,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6027…4320backed Utah Tech Trailblazers46c113.48$52 inWon+$61.281,39752.7%736 W · 661 L+26.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Utah Tech Trailblazers47c106.38$50 inWon+$56.384,55250.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L-36.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6fc…b24ebacked Utah Tech Trailblazers43c69.17$30 inWon+$39.4332246.6%150 W · 172 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9aea…4793backed Utah Tech Trailblazers50c63.44$32 inWon+$31.822857.1%16 W · 12 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Abilene Christian Wildcats53c62.71$33 inLost-$33.2492246%424 W · 498 L+1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid+2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Abilene Christian Wildcats53c30.61$16 inLost-$16.1484854.5%462 W · 386 L+32.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf48e…1e01backed Abilene Christian Wildcats47c30$14 inLost-$14.14450%22 W · 22 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3865…fcbebacked Utah Tech Trailblazers48c24.82$12 inWon+$12.911450%7 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick55cpaid+6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Abilene Christian Wildcats47c24.14$11 inLost-$11.373,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.