Lol · resolved market
LoL: Team Orange Gaming vs G2 NORD (BO1) - Prime League 1st Division Group A
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8a8cb999fbf88a0facbace7f884dc2abc98438f3048660bef38d950ac3603090
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Orange Gamingof Team Orange Gaming, G2 NORD
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,976
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,397
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,976 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa794…1361backed G2 NORD | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 106 | 24.5%26 W · 80 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7771…009fbacked G2 NORD | 67c | 726$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.27 | 1,007 | 48.2%485 W · 522 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Team Orange Gaming | 28c | 588.46$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.52 | 1,258 | 38.6%485 W · 773 L | -61.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Team Orange Gaming | 46c | 549.92$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.43 | 1,598 | 42.4%677 W · 921 L | -17.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ed…2a85backed Team Orange Gaming | 37c | 480$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304 | 867 | 58.1%504 W · 363 L | +16.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0599…3c6abacked G2 NORD | 73c | 407$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298 | 821 | 61%501 W · 320 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf06…c9ffbacked Team Orange Gaming | 30c | 400$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 633 | 52%329 W · 304 L | +39.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4b8f…30dbbacked G2 NORD | 75c | 369.05$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe625…94c0backed Team Orange Gaming | 34c | 313.32$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.43 | 743 | 44%327 W · 416 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebc7…4003backed G2 NORD | 63c | 309.15$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.16 | 283 | 61.5%174 W · 109 L | +18.0wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6e32…ab65backed G2 NORD | 74c | 289.27$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.06 | 2,156 | 53.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00df…0d23backed G2 NORD | 71c | 281.69$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 98 | 52%51 W · 47 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca81…f2abbacked Team Orange Gaming | 25c | 280.6$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.45 | 611 | 43.5%266 W · 345 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca0…38babacked G2 NORD | 72c | 277.78$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,443 | 43.4%626 W · 817 L | +105.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa005…6646backed G2 NORD | 33c | 252$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.94 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +5.5wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +45.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed G2 NORD | 73c | 240$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.08 | 89 | 62.9%56 W · 33 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc07…a946backed G2 NORD | 22c | 227.27$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Team Orange Gaming | 25c | 207.86$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.16 | 1,224 | 48.3%591 W · 633 L | +26.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75ab…eb07backed G2 NORD | 32c | 200$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 154 | 33.1%51 W · 103 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b95…b23ebacked G2 NORD | 75c | 120$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 1,024 | 45%461 W · 563 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12bd…8f48backed G2 NORD | 74c | 100$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.7 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -6.9wins | -0.15per pick | 47cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Team Orange Gaming | 23c | 99.99$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.99 | 276 | 32.6%90 W · 186 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Team Orange Gaming | 27c | 90.49$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.1 | 302 | 47%142 W · 160 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Team Orange Gaming | 66c | 82.6$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.97 | 1,731 | 44.2%765 W · 966 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa6…03ebbacked Team Orange Gaming | 27c | 69.99$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.09 | 573 | 33%189 W · 384 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0241…fd36backed Team Orange Gaming | 26c | 66$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.84 | 399 | 56.6%226 W · 173 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b50…ea47backed Team Orange Gaming | 27c | 62$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.26 | 1,294 | 26.6%344 W · 950 L | +65.3wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed Team Orange Gaming | 24c | 55.71$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.34 | 183 | 50.8%93 W · 90 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61cd…1e02backed G2 NORD | 31c | 54.96$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.04 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Team Orange Gaming | 68c | 50.98$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.17 | 697 | 56.5%394 W · 303 L | +26.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff00…74d7backed Team Orange Gaming | 26c | 42.31$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.31 | 77 | 44.2%34 W · 43 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90c9…476dbacked G2 NORD | 69c | 36.14$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 242 | 71.9%174 W · 68 L | +12.6wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xabfb…12e5backed Team Orange Gaming | 35c | 32.73$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.33 | 77 | 28.6%22 W · 55 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82b9…c6cebacked G2 NORD | 77c | 32.47$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 143 | 58.7%84 W · 59 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked G2 NORD | 73c | 30.11$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.05 | 2,825 | 41.4%1,169 W · 1,656 L | -14.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Team Orange Gaming | 42c | 24.78$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.36 | 261 | 44.1%115 W · 146 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe9…987ebacked G2 NORD | 67c | 24$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.04 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b3a…aaa2backed G2 NORD | 53c | 23.33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.37 | 118 | 47.5%56 W · 62 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0c…d43abacked G2 NORD | 69c | 20.3$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.01 | 145 | 45.5%66 W · 79 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked G2 NORD | 74c | 17.76$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.14 | 2,341 | 40.3%943 W · 1,398 L | -61.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d78…a4ccbacked G2 NORD | 70c | 15.71$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.