Lol · resolved market
Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8a91587166bfcf1c6e0a2b2a49ec1d6330b81192a2fa428367462498c91c1574
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,817
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,340
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,817 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xda3a…381fbacked Under | 51c | 11,521$5,885 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,636.08 | 1,485 | 50.1%744 W · 741 L | +67.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d2e…896dbacked Over | 49c | 10,318$5,056 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,055.87 | 338 | 38.2%129 W · 209 L | -21.4wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6918…782bbacked Under | 51c | 9,809$5,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,806.4 | 1,501 | 54.5%818 W · 683 L | +34.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…e8c1backed Over | 48c | 9,698$4,689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,689.25 | 1,308 | 38.6%505 W · 803 L | -64.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9770…0ff5backed Under | 52c | 8,591$4,488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,102.07 | 594 | 50.2%298 W · 296 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Over | 49c | 5,823$2,838 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,838.17 | 2,226 | 37.5%834 W · 1,392 L | -29.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Over | 47c | 1,952$918 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$917.54 | 1,368 | 37.7%516 W · 852 L | -6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Under | 51c | 1,500$764 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$735.99 | 1,794 | 51.1%917 W · 877 L | +50.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Over | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 3,584 | 40.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L | +31.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fbf…4605backed Over | 49c | 942.86$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462 | 260 | 42.3%110 W · 150 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41bb…6302backed Over | 49c | 775.42$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378 | 92 | 44.6%41 W · 51 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Under | 52c | 487.84$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.8 | 143 | 38.5%55 W · 88 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a4f…e6ffbacked Over | 49c | 473$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.77 | 159 | 50.9%81 W · 78 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e43…c9bebacked Over | 49c | 408.08$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 65 | 33.8%22 W · 43 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -23%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84fe…be09backed Over | 49c | 300$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 81 | 32.1%26 W · 55 L | -9.6wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe463…f7b2backed Over | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 316 | 43%136 W · 180 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed Under | 53c | 93.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.02 | 1,576 | 48.4%763 W · 813 L | +17.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed Over | 47c | 72.48$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.07 | 1,385 | 45.1%625 W · 760 L | -12.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55a3…fd93backed Over | 46c | 64$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.44 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c99…d91abacked Over | 47c | 62$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.84 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b74…cbaebacked Under | 52c | 41.96$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.14 | 162 | 54.3%88 W · 74 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Over | 49c | 41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.09 | 110 | 48.2%53 W · 57 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8968…c3c1backed Under | 52c | 40.22$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.31 | 360 | 47.5%171 W · 189 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Under | 51c | 32.96$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.15 | 797 | 45.8%365 W · 432 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Under | 54c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 751 | 50.7%381 W · 370 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1?this page
- Game Handicap: FNC (-1.5) vs Team Heretics (+1.5)Fnatic won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: Fnatic vs Team Heretics (BO3) - LEC Regular SeasonFnatic won
- LoL: Fnatic vs Team Heretics - Game 1 WinnerFnatic won
- LoL: Fnatic vs Team Heretics - Game 2 WinnerFnatic won
- Total Kills Over/Under 25.5 in Game 1?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.