TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

Game Handicap: AL (-1.5) vs JD Gaming (+1.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
JD Gamingof Anyone's Legend, JD Gaming
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$32,570
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$32,721

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,570 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x40ea…832fbacked Anyone's Legend31c30,776$9,634 inLost-$9,633.6520339.9%81 W · 122 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5038…6236backed JD Gaming67c10,000$6,700 inWon+$3,30011643.1%50 W · 66 L-0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6918…782bbacked JD Gaming71c8,888$6,310 inWon+$2,577.521,50154.5%818 W · 683 L+34.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2307…3934backed JD Gaming67c4,098$2,746 inWon+$1,352.3354353.8%292 W · 251 L+32.6wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+15.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1f03…b1bebacked JD Gaming71c3,500$2,485 inWon+$1,0151,13252.5%594 W · 538 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0cef…fa91backed JD Gaming68c2,000$1,360 inWon+$6405543.6%24 W · 31 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-11%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x54a6…7401backed JD Gaming68c1,986$1,344 inWon+$641.9252750.5%266 W · 261 L+13.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfc1a…6049backed Anyone's Legend29c722.9$210 inLost-$210.448240.2%33 W · 49 L-5.1wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-13%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed JD Gaming68c600$408 inWon+$1922,49547.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L-32.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed JD Gaming68c600$408 inWon+$1921,59946.8%748 W · 851 L-48.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b0b…612abacked Anyone's Legend34c294.12$100 inLost-$10044046.4%204 W · 236 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f41…b387backed JD Gaming70c200$140 inWon+$605554.5%30 W · 25 L+7.4wins+0.13per pick41cpaid+36.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x6e32…ab65backed JD Gaming70c80.67$56 inWon+$24.22,15653.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L+57.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf6ee…0e41backed Anyone's Legend27c72.54$20 inLost-$19.586142.6%26 W · 35 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6926…152dbacked JD Gaming73c68.49$50 inWon+$18.4984360.1%507 W · 336 L-15.6wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Anyone's Legend31c68.3$21 inLost-$21.1779745.8%365 W · 432 L-0.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeed6…ec56backed Anyone's Legend30c56.67$17 inLost-$1720649.5%102 W · 104 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Anyone's Legend28c49.61$14 inLost-$13.891,83117.1%313 W · 1,518 L-236.0wins-0.13per pick30cpaid-46%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xfb03…46dcbacked JD Gaming70c40$28 inWon+$1242751.5%220 W · 207 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x73a2…3b68backed JD Gaming69c37.78$26 inWon+$11.7174849.6%371 W · 377 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a6e…9bc5backed JD Gaming72c36.5$26 inWon+$10.213450%17 W · 17 L-2.4wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-12.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6d44…9f3bbacked JD Gaming71c30$21 inWon+$8.75740.4%23 W · 34 L-8.1wins-0.14per pick55cpaid-31.1%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x204f…ba2cbacked JD Gaming69c15$10 inWon+$4.6518263.7%116 W · 66 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick62cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc56b…772abacked JD Gaming72c13.94$10 inWon+$3.96654.5%36 W · 30 L-4.9wins-0.07per pick62cpaid-4.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.