Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x196cff6483e1e8287ae40667d076502142c92eebf717ae5cef66ddad53072d00
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,028
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,544
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,028 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x54a6…7401backed Under | 51c | 2,373$1,205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,204.66 | 527 | 50.5%266 W · 261 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0636…c529backed Over | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020 | 112 | 49.1%55 W · 57 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Over | 53c | 215.92$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.02 | 1,170 | 66.2%774 W · 396 L | +69.6wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0bf8…03b2backed Over | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 367 | 52%191 W · 176 L | -18.0wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -14%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Under | 47c | 198.11$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.11 | 1,399 | 43.7%612 W · 787 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Under | 13c | 156$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.88 | 3,131 | 33.8%1,058 W · 2,073 L | -150.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3252…1d21backed Over | 52c | 145.21$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.21 | 131 | 48.9%64 W · 67 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Over | 48c | 120.72$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.87 | 1,098 | 34.8%382 W · 716 L | -17.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83d4…ad01backed Under | 54c | 106$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.24 | 58 | 58.6%34 W · 24 L | +7.1wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbc20…8c98backed Over | 49c | 102.8$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.8 | 102 | 53.9%55 W · 47 L | +6.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2110…306fbacked Under | 51c | 99.99$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 191 | 61.8%118 W · 73 L | +10.0wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x87ed…b497backed Under | 49c | 90$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.1 | 390 | 56.4%220 W · 170 L | +9.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd790…a24ebacked Under | 52c | 84.62$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 55c | 80.11$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.99 | 2,508 | 39.8%999 W · 1,509 L | -76.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd95…52fbbacked Over | 52c | 77.08$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.08 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -3.1wins | -0.16per pick | 48cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Over | 57c | 68.21$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.13 | 955 | 51.7%494 W · 461 L | -12.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ec6…698bbacked Under | 42c | 52.21$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.93 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56bd…e58dbacked Under | 52c | 50.15$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.08 | 286 | 55.9%160 W · 126 L | +10.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf07…4a12backed Over | 51c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 202 | 39.6%80 W · 122 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x863f…7b79backed Over | 48c | 49.99$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 576 | 55.9%322 W · 254 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42e2…d154backed Under | 50c | 42$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 102 | 53.9%55 W · 47 L | +9.9wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6e…9bc5backed Over | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b0b…12ffbacked Under | 52c | 36.6$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.03 | 86 | 37.2%32 W · 54 L | -6.0wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -22%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Under | 51c | 35.82$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.27 | 299 | 52.2%156 W · 143 L | +13.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Over | 78c | 24$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.18 | 464 | 52.4%243 W · 221 L | +18.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1c…9bb3backed Over | 50c | 22.11$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.06 | 159 | 56%89 W · 70 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa4…767cbacked Under | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 101 | 40.6%41 W · 60 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Game Handicap: AL (-1.5) vs JD Gaming (+1.5)JD Gaming won
- LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group AscendJD Gaming won
- LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 1 WinnerJD Gaming won
- LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 2 WinnerAnyone's Legend won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.