TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Valorant · resolved market

Valorant: Mandatory vs AlQadsiah Esports - Map 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Mandatoryof Mandatory, AlQadsiah Esports
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$17,092
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$18,547

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,092 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Valorant
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xddc3…029cbacked Mandatory62c4,314$2,656 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,658.032982.8%24 W · 5 L+6.4wins+0.22per pick61cpaid+34.5%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x1897…5dc7backed Mandatory57c3,611$2,065 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,546.12100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked AlQadsiah Esports39c2,000$780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78078562.8%493 W · 292 L+56.2wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+7.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x568d…87d0backed AlQadsiah Esports36c1,829$667 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$667.0910842.6%46 W · 62 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5556…2759backed AlQadsiah Esports39c929.49$365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$365.3263955.6%355 W · 284 L+1.9wins0.00per pick55cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed AlQadsiah Esports35c718.36$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253.471,74646.2%806 W · 940 L-3.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-15.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x15d1…2f08backed AlQadsiah Esports11c636.71$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.947544%33 W · 42 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7029…1136backed AlQadsiah Esports15c561.46$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.256352.4%33 W · 30 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+13.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked AlQadsiah Esports42c461.49$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.4294361.2%577 W · 366 L+58.2wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4702…5d04backed Mandatory63c352.74$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.392441.7%10 W · 14 L-2.3wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-28.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8a80…11c5backed AlQadsiah Esports34c300$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.7733838.5%130 W · 208 L-21.7wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-25.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed AlQadsiah Esports7c293.89$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.8840945.7%187 W · 222 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-19.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8bec…7800backed AlQadsiah Esports40c265.5$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.27540%30 W · 45 L-5.6wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-16.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked AlQadsiah Esports41c238.3$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.851,30943.8%573 W · 736 L-44.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-19.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked AlQadsiah Esports34c209$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.0570043.7%306 W · 394 L-13.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd565…d785backed Mandatory53c207.82$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.827352.1%38 W · 35 L-4.5wins-0.06per pick58cpaid-14.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfe8a…23cebacked AlQadsiah Esports31c175.01$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.0555348.3%267 W · 286 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-15.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked AlQadsiah Esports28c175$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.1552050%260 W · 260 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x54e0…b02cbacked AlQadsiah Esports31c157.32$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.0940731.7%129 W · 278 L-13.1wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-20.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked AlQadsiah Esports37c153.28$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.8584838.2%324 W · 524 L-50.5wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-24.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd154…9c74backed AlQadsiah Esports51c150$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.227947.7%133 W · 146 L+0.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid-10.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x76f1…f655backed AlQadsiah Esports52c150$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7837545.6%171 W · 204 L-1.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked AlQadsiah Esports32c145.06$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.9977744%342 W · 435 L-21.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-19%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed AlQadsiah Esports33c136.69$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.179650%398 W · 398 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-10.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed AlQadsiah Esports35c128.33$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.220755.6%115 W · 92 L+8.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6fb2…bd2dbacked AlQadsiah Esports35c128.31$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.192360.9%14 W · 9 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick57cpaid-3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked AlQadsiah Esports34c122.96$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.442140.4%170 W · 251 L-26.0wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-23.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc59f…954ebacked AlQadsiah Esports40c116.62$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$472544%11 W · 14 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked AlQadsiah Esports38c110.43$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.0468949.5%341 W · 348 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed AlQadsiah Esports44c109.48$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.171,49046.6%695 W · 795 L-16.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x267c…5bfdbacked AlQadsiah Esports40c102.4$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.965360.4%32 W · 21 L+5.8wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+20.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe123…b4ffbacked Mandatory63c101.74$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.642157.1%12 W · 9 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+11.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3cad…92f0backed AlQadsiah Esports41c100$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4113933.1%46 W · 93 L-7.2wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-12.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked AlQadsiah Esports40c100$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401,24749.6%619 W · 628 L-2.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x133a…504abacked AlQadsiah Esports41c100$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4115535.5%55 W · 100 L-5.4wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd2ad…a700backed AlQadsiah Esports45c95$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.751553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7ab…16d0backed Mandatory54c94.06$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.8239166%258 W · 133 L+24.0wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+7.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2e7c…164dbacked AlQadsiah Esports45c88$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.612850%64 W · 64 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+9.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x31e7…fe2abacked AlQadsiah Esports41c80.49$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3310633%35 W · 71 L-6.3wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-15.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x71f5…4ccebacked AlQadsiah Esports31c73.81$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.722539.1%88 W · 137 L-10.6wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-25.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0593…9712backed Mandatory65c60$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2115973%116 W · 43 L+10.8wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+9.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed AlQadsiah Esports36c60$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.6374642.8%319 W · 427 L-27.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-18.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked AlQadsiah Esports35c55.83$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.721,60845.2%727 W · 881 L-24.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-22.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6376…0d2abacked Mandatory55c49.09$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.0931046.5%144 W · 166 L-9.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked AlQadsiah Esports24c43.13$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.2496245.1%434 W · 528 L-18.9wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d08…6e9bbacked AlQadsiah Esports41c34.15$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143426.5%9 W · 25 L-4.8wins-0.14per pick41cpaid-41.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb91c…ed66backed Mandatory53c28.31$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.3124140.2%97 W · 144 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0844…bf81backed Mandatory65c18.66$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.5327956.6%158 W · 121 L+9.1wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb09f…6382backed Mandatory65c16$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.63234.4%11 W · 21 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-22.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.