Tennis · resolved market
ITF Irvine: Bryce Nakashima vs Ronit Karki
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8ab0acc8c87ed459eb74706b6d1575049c47855d464aa0ee7c057043a9e1d641
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bryce Nakashimaof Bryce Nakashima, Ronit Karki
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,743
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,930
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,743 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc542…7fe1backed Ronit Karki | 36c | 1,500$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Bryce Nakashima | 65c | 1,378$893 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484.94 | 7,968 | 50.7%4,038 W · 3,930 L | +92.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Ronit Karki | 35c | 604.31$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.92 | 6,574 | 46.2%3,037 W · 3,537 L | -45.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6bf…05b6backed Ronit Karki | 17c | 397.76$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.52 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Ronit Karki | 19c | 337.25$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.03 | 1,842 | 41%755 W · 1,087 L | -31.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d74…f2abbacked Ronit Karki | 41c | 316.95$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.72 | 433 | 34.9%151 W · 282 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Bryce Nakashima | 70c | 304.13$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.72 | 1,148 | 53%608 W · 540 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…ca84backed Ronit Karki | 15c | 302.33$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.22 | 920 | 46.6%429 W · 491 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ffe…a60fbacked Bryce Nakashima | 80c | 232.45$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.49 | 169 | 67.5%114 W · 55 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 71cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Bryce Nakashima | 60c | 219$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.6 | 7,753 | 47.8%3,703 W · 4,050 L | +39.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Ronit Karki | 27c | 140.2$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.44 | 8,702 | 42.6%3,708 W · 4,994 L | -165.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Ronit Karki | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 1,772 | 52.1%923 W · 849 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73c3…fd98backed Bryce Nakashima | 58c | 86.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.17 | 93 | 54.8%51 W · 42 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd82…6a10backed Bryce Nakashima | 59c | 85.46$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.46 | 316 | 57.3%181 W · 135 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e48…828fbacked Bryce Nakashima | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 73 | 52.1%38 W · 35 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66ac…5e75backed Bryce Nakashima | 58c | 82.76$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.76 | 956 | 55.9%534 W · 422 L | +19.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Ronit Karki | 40c | 81.67$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.69 | 5,498 | 48.5%2,667 W · 2,831 L | +10.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Bryce Nakashima | 64c | 79.55$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.64 | 4,341 | 52.3%2,271 W · 2,070 L | +63.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Bryce Nakashima | 64c | 73.52$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.57 | 6,512 | 54.5%3,546 W · 2,966 L | +289.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Ronit Karki | 36c | 70.34$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.32 | 5,325 | 28.8%1,533 W · 3,792 L | -21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Bryce Nakashima | 57c | 52.99$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.98 | 746 | 46.1%344 W · 402 L | -30.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9dd…13a2backed Bryce Nakashima | 57c | 52.63$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.63 | 245 | 57.6%141 W · 104 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c9…6686backed Bryce Nakashima | 57c | 52.32$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.32 | 1,337 | 46%615 W · 722 L | +23.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88a9…e618backed Bryce Nakashima | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 967 | 55%532 W · 435 L | +17.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Bryce Nakashima | 60c | 31.3$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.52 | 1,228 | 23.1%284 W · 944 L | -164.0wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -47%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Bryce Nakashima | 67c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.55 | 727 | 55.6%404 W · 323 L | +27.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd78e…6421backed Bryce Nakashima | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 935 | 57.3%536 W · 399 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4787…db20backed Bryce Nakashima | 67c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 282 | 64.2%181 W · 101 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.