CS2 · resolved market
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: PARIVISION (-3.5) vs Lynn Vision (+3.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8ab11669f03d133d7fa5bbabf09e5ebedd2c290c25e2ef30c5fbe8e2dd7332d7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- PARIVISIONof PARIVISION, Lynn Vision
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,631
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,840
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,631 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3881…804ebacked Lynn Vision | 53c | 3,924$2,089 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,088.97 | 1,496 | 51.5%771 W · 725 L | -7.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked PARIVISION | 48c | 2,872$1,372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,499.88 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Lynn Vision | 52c | 1,501$783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$782.86 | 471 | 47.3%223 W · 248 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed PARIVISION | 47c | 731.77$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.84 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2405…e055backed Lynn Vision | 55c | 710.13$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394 | 159 | 48.4%77 W · 82 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa4…16e3backed PARIVISION | 43c | 697.67$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.67 | 765 | 46.7%357 W · 408 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe893…afaebacked PARIVISION | 44c | 663.15$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.36 | 114 | 44.7%51 W · 63 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed PARIVISION | 49c | 658.49$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.83 | 597 | 55.4%331 W · 266 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcef…fd7fbacked PARIVISION | 45c | 466.98$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.84 | 128 | 46.1%59 W · 69 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a1…ceb5backed Lynn Vision | 51c | 415.69$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed PARIVISION | 49c | 275.69$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.6 | 2,009 | 53.9%1,082 W · 927 L | +7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab2a…30edbacked Lynn Vision | 56c | 270$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.2 | 140 | 57.9%81 W · 59 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed PARIVISION | 43c | 250$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.5 | 613 | 38.2%234 W · 379 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x764a…83d3backed Lynn Vision | 50c | 210.13$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.07 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e54…511ebacked Lynn Vision | 51c | 173$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.23 | 388 | 44.3%172 W · 216 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x209e…8bb4backed Lynn Vision | 52c | 121.01$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.93 | 68 | 51.5%35 W · 33 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffca…0b64backed Lynn Vision | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 521 | 50.3%262 W · 259 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed PARIVISION | 48c | 75$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.79 | 240 | 54.6%131 W · 109 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6d8…fd15backed Lynn Vision | 52c | 57.9$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Lynn Vision | 56c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 1,848 | 47.6%879 W · 969 L | -55.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5006…48cabacked PARIVISION | 48c | 47.17$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.53 | 91 | 60.4%55 W · 36 L | +8.0wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb8eb…9d25backed Lynn Vision | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: PARIVISION (-3.5) vs Lynn Vision (+3.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Lynn Vision (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group StagePARIVISION won
- Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.