College Football · resolved market
Spread: Oklahoma (-5.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8ab2ba69620f750aaaa0d1be1970619d7de6c987fb1eea9b84337505e7d60438
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Oklahomaof Oklahoma, South Carolina
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $64,472
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $63,860
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $64,472 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Oklahoma | 54c | 30,365$16,394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,971.02 | 104 | 48.1%50 W · 54 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked South Carolina | 48c | 5,785$2,763 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,763.13 | 756 | 51.9%392 W · 364 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed South Carolina | 44c | 5,186$2,284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,284.26 | 632 | 43.7%276 W · 356 L | +34.8wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +138.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3a…4033backed South Carolina | 56c | 4,500$2,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,520 | 193 | 62.2%120 W · 73 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed South Carolina | 47c | 4,393$2,052 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,052.08 | 859 | 47.7%410 W · 449 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked South Carolina | 50c | 4,321$2,175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,174.75 | 818 | 47.9%392 W · 426 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a32…6d7ebacked South Carolina | 46c | 3,500$1,610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,610 | 64 | 65.6%42 W · 22 L | +14.8wins | +0.23per pick | 42cpaid | +58.6%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…9ed3backed South Carolina | 53c | 2,815$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -17%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb36…9545backed South Carolina | 46c | 2,500$1,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,160 | 169 | 45.6%77 W · 92 L | +9.3wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed83…a91fbacked South Carolina | 49c | 2,500$1,223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,222.5 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -3.3wins | -0.26per pick | 49cpaid | -58.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xedae…584fbacked South Carolina | 46c | 2,500$1,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,160 | 58 | 56.9%33 W · 25 L | +7.7wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf1…c324backed South Carolina | 57c | 2,500$1,420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,420 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.9wins | -0.42per pick | 56cpaid | -72.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x63af…0a25backed South Carolina | 47c | 2,500$1,185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,185 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Oklahoma | 49c | 2,040$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040.4 | 71 | 36.6%26 W · 45 L | -7.1wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Oklahoma | 47c | 1,500$705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$795 | 385 | 46%177 W · 208 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2619…9f4ebacked South Carolina | 47c | 1,500$711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$711 | 179 | 54.2%97 W · 82 L | +11.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked South Carolina | 50c | 1,411$706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$705.64 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Oklahoma | 44c | 1,266$561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$704.84 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed South Carolina | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 261 | 47.9%125 W · 136 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8480…293ebacked South Carolina | 47c | 750$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.5 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | +5.4wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +11%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa52e…e2c4backed South Carolina | 47c | 750$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.5 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +5.0wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x281d…814fbacked South Carolina | 44c | 700$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked South Carolina | 48c | 672.37$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.44 | 492 | 53.5%263 W · 229 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf6…513abacked South Carolina | 47c | 560$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.45 | 143 | 55.2%79 W · 64 L | +12.0wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed South Carolina | 49c | 489.8$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 302 | 53%160 W · 142 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed South Carolina | 54c | 463$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.02 | 293 | 51.9%152 W · 141 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed South Carolina | 48c | 430$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208 | 209 | 50.2%105 W · 104 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x258e…d16cbacked Oklahoma | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 174 | 50%87 W · 87 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed South Carolina | 54c | 190$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.6 | 568 | 44.5%253 W · 315 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1416…f47abacked South Carolina | 55c | 167$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.85 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…27b1backed South Carolina | 55c | 109$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.86 | 135 | 48.9%66 W · 69 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6dc…8c92backed Oklahoma | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.02 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -8.1wins | -0.18per pick | 49cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed South Carolina | 44c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 862 | 43.7%377 W · 485 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Oklahoma | 56c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 305 | 48.9%149 W · 156 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcba6…bb05backed South Carolina | 49c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.4 | 160 | 44.4%71 W · 89 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0338…4f11backed South Carolina | 54c | 37.1$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.03 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b36…fd74backed South Carolina | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x735a…3ef2backed Oklahoma | 53c | 27.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.94 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -3.5wins | -0.25per pick | 53cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Oklahoma (-5.5)this page
- Oklahoma vs. South CarolinaOklahoma won
- Oklahoma vs. South Carolina: O/U 43.5Under won
- Spread: Oklahoma (-4.5)Oklahoma won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.