NFL · resolved market
Jets vs. Packers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8b3cc9f3f1610bb17cfed8c3f7191c67f03846670f6c3268ca559497ec1f6714
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Jets of Jets , Packers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,723
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,322
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,723 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Packers | 63c | 10,064$6,371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,370.68 | 418 | 51.9%217 W · 201 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked Jets | 36c | 7,264$2,615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,648.88 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Packers | 59c | 1,598$943 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$942.61 | 50 | 66%33 W · 17 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Jets | 41c | 1,174$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$692.89 | 133 | 35.3%47 W · 86 L | -9.1wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Jets | 38c | 1,000$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620 | 143 | 42%60 W · 83 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77fb…849ebacked Jets | 37c | 1,000$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.21per pick | 39cpaid | +62%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Jets | 40c | 799.98$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.99 | 121 | 33.9%41 W · 80 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40ab…fbb5backed Jets | 56c | 797.67$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.67 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Jets | 37c | 388.31$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.69 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Packers | 59c | 384.99$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.14 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -3.0wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Packers | 43c | 354.43$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.41 | 195 | 51.3%100 W · 95 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Packers | 63c | 290.99$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.33 | 143 | 66.4%95 W · 48 L | +13.0wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Jets | 37c | 269.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.39 | 330 | 47.9%158 W · 172 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41f…e827backed Jets | 74c | 261.84$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.6 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Jets | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.9 | 175 | 58.9%103 W · 72 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Packers | 36c | 241.69$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.99 | 48 | 29.2%14 W · 34 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Packers | 48c | 213.46$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.46 | 245 | 51%125 W · 120 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Jets | 37c | 200$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 263 | 31.6%83 W · 180 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ce…d9dfbacked Jets | 39c | 200$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb683…61b1backed Packers | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | -5.3wins | -0.09per pick | 60cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee4…b575backed Jets | 40c | 150$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Jets | 38c | 131.58$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.58 | 200 | 39.5%79 W · 121 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Packers | 64c | 100$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 181 | 51.9%94 W · 87 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6082…6ce2backed Jets | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +78.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa25b…0151backed Packers | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5954…7c6bbacked Packers | 62c | 92.56$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.39 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54fa…2fa9backed Packers | 23c | 87.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd4…e888backed Jets | 71c | 84.78$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.78 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 75cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6163…8507backed Packers | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Packers | 35c | 76.46$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.96 | 310 | 56.8%176 W · 134 L | +16.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ef…0b77backed Jets | 39c | 70.99$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.31 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35fd…e721backed Jets | 41c | 70.48$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.58 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +62.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb5a…6321backed Packers | 61c | 66.57$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.61 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0627…1ecabacked Packers | 64c | 62.5$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Packers | 35c | 60$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.2 | 323 | 47.4%153 W · 170 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…14a3backed Packers | 27c | 55.56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 125 | 60.8%76 W · 49 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x107a…4bc4backed Jets | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.05 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +3.5wins | +0.39per pick | 39cpaid | +103.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4891…0165backed Jets | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.63 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.43per pick | 37cpaid | +110.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x073a…cd54backed Jets | 38c | 52.61$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.62 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a34…56cfbacked Packers | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68b1…c3a0backed Jets | 40c | 49.66$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +148.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88c4…fbf0backed Jets | 38c | 47.56$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.49 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +4.3wins | +0.25per pick | 46cpaid | +66.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Jets | 38c | 45$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.9 | 304 | 42.4%129 W · 175 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeceb…19f2backed Packers | 64c | 41.77$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.73 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Packers | 58c | 41.74$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.21 | 106 | 29.2%31 W · 75 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ee…373ebacked Jets | 42c | 41.74$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.21 | 123 | 43.1%53 W · 70 L | -7.7wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Jets | 40c | 40$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 122 | 50%61 W · 61 L | +8.5wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Jets | 37c | 40$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 315 | 40.6%128 W · 187 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42b0…ff25backed Jets | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59f0…604abacked Jets | 41c | 37.85$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.33 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +22%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfba7…b5e4backed Jets | 41c | 34.95$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.62 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +62.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22b8…7b6ebacked Jets | 38c | 34.21$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.21 | 170 | 60.6%103 W · 67 L | +12.6wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xba54…6c72backed Jets | 41c | 31.08$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.34 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd287…7485backed Jets | 40c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +4.2wins | +0.30per pick | 42cpaid | +70.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cc…a23abacked Jets | 39c | 29.99$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.3 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +2.8wins | +0.17per pick | 39cpaid | +49.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x282f…ac8dbacked Jets | 40c | 29.25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.55 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +23%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd98…104cbacked Jets | 41c | 28.37$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.74 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7269…bf2abacked Jets | 41c | 27.66$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4aa…5e57backed Jets | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdddd…d6f1backed Packers | 60c | 24.13$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.48 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1025…ccf3backed Packers | 60c | 21.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.19 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd20b…a285backed Packers | 60c | 21.93$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.16 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04f9…a4a6backed Packers | 60c | 21.63$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.98 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf29c…7270backed Packers | 60c | 21.06$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.64 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0704…6ab8backed Packers | 62c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -3.1wins | -0.28per pick | 64cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9ebc…f27ebacked Packers | 60c | 18.88$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.33 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c44…f0b8backed Packers | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 69cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.