Tennis · resolved market
ITF Kayseri: Ivan Marrero Curbelo vs Keshav Chopra
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8b54b655d1809e4a65b1bd88a9e4b1ba610ac0aab45592d097f577bbb2a38cf3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ivan Marrero Curbeloof Ivan Marrero Curbelo, Keshav Chopra
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,473
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,251
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,473 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x287d…38febacked Keshav Chopra | 37c | 429$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 374 | 21.9%82 W · 292 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Keshav Chopra | 18c | 230.26$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.4 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Keshav Chopra | 10c | 219.08$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.56 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64ae…23c4backed Ivan Marrero Curbelo | 65c | 211.81$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.68 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb5…6be6backed Ivan Marrero Curbelo | 75c | 200$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 250 | 51.2%128 W · 122 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Keshav Chopra | 31c | 197.49$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.25 | 1,822 | 41%747 W · 1,075 L | -30.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Keshav Chopra | 35c | 160.51$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.18 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…70b1backed Ivan Marrero Curbelo | 63c | 145.24$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.93 | 47 | 63.8%30 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Keshav Chopra | 19c | 126.14$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.43 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Keshav Chopra | 26c | 100.62$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.9 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab9f…75f1backed Ivan Marrero Curbelo | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 514 | 45.5%234 W · 280 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba1a…85febacked Ivan Marrero Curbelo | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.92 | 726 | 51.8%376 W · 350 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Keshav Chopra | 17c | 66$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.94 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Ivan Marrero Curbelo | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.17 | 2,082 | 52.3%1,088 W · 994 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Keshav Chopra | 25c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 1,349 | 49.8%672 W · 677 L | -6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda8a…2dbabacked Ivan Marrero Curbelo | 65c | 46.15$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.15 | 102 | 52.9%54 W · 48 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f3…d6dcbacked Ivan Marrero Curbelo | 80c | 13.24$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.65 | 870 | 60.2%524 W · 346 L | +28.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.