CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: LAVK (-1.5) vs SINQU (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8b7454fb0d4643e42bb591be8ba8e10d930bb48fa37752373a29b9b01b4cbe68
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- SINQUof Lavked, SINQU
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,749
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,890
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,749 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed SINQU | 38c | 548.38$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340 | 1,017 | 53.4%543 W · 474 L | +65.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed SINQU | 38c | 518.68$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.12 | 610 | 47.7%291 W · 319 L | -12.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfbe…0406backed Lavked | 62c | 500$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 61cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa134…f90fbacked Lavked | 62c | 346.69$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.67 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f16…284ebacked Lavked | 62c | 322.28$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 58 | 82.8%48 W · 10 L | +10.2wins | +0.18per pick | 65cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Lavked | 61c | 278.18$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.86 | 5,810 | 37.8%2,196 W · 3,614 L | +78.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked SINQU | 40c | 274.26$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.46 | 2,599 | 47.8%1,242 W · 1,357 L | -30.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked SINQU | 38c | 259.98$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.19 | 1,154 | 48.3%557 W · 597 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd30b…2acdbacked Lavked | 61c | 245.95$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.03 | 47 | 59.6%28 W · 19 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3881…804ebacked SINQU | 40c | 222.5$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.5 | 1,476 | 51.8%765 W · 711 L | -4.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…4e6abacked Lavked | 60c | 208$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.8 | 265 | 54.3%144 W · 121 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c3c…4169backed Lavked | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 32 | 75%24 W · 8 L | +4.4wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked SINQU | 38c | 158.4$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.21 | 246 | 46.7%115 W · 131 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65f9…fb40backed Lavked | 60c | 124.35$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.61 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed1…fd2abacked SINQU | 39c | 120$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.2 | 393 | 38.2%150 W · 243 L | -13.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8eb…0f59backed SINQU | 41c | 98.4$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.4 | 215 | 45.6%98 W · 117 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed SINQU | 39c | 80$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.8 | 1,828 | 47.6%871 W · 957 L | -54.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54c8…46eebacked Lavked | 62c | 64.52$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed SINQU | 40c | 53.35$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.01 | 504 | 48.8%246 W · 258 L | +12.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x483d…a099backed Lavked | 60c | 52$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.28 | 260 | 46.5%121 W · 139 L | -9.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee16…16a2backed Lavked | 62c | 48.38$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 297 | 52.2%155 W · 142 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed SINQU | 40c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf1…d7febacked SINQU | 40c | 24.7$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 232 | 35.3%82 W · 150 L | -8.2wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -17%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: LAVK (-1.5) vs SINQU (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: Lavked vs SINQU (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #3 Group BLavked won
- Counter-Strike: Lavked vs SINQU - Map 1 WinnerLavked won
- Counter-Strike: Lavked vs SINQU - Map 2 WinnerSINQU won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.