CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Lavked vs SINQU (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #3 Group B
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x115e9051abce17acebabe134dc05203b9de5984c330aae286f710348dd04f751
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lavkedof Lavked, SINQU
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,791
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,274
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,791 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1efd…5656backed Lavked | 66c | 4,325$2,855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,470.52 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 69cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7460…de6ebacked Lavked | 54c | 2,500$1,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,149.98 | 437 | 51.7%226 W · 211 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked SINQU | 33c | 2,230$726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$725.9 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa16b…b541backed Lavked | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$899.99 | 430 | 55.1%237 W · 193 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1186…0355backed Lavked | 61c | 1,799$1,091 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$708.46 | 233 | 56.2%131 W · 102 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked SINQU | 46c | 1,532$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.58 | 7,892 | 50.5%3,983 W · 3,909 L | +182.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked SINQU | 18c | 1,335$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.66 | 3,415 | 29.3%1,001 W · 2,414 L | -275.1wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed SINQU | 34c | 1,215$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.64 | 4,040 | 50.9%2,057 W · 1,983 L | +71.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7787…bf58backed SINQU | 38c | 1,182$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd747…076cbacked SINQU | 10c | 990$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1d5…54d5backed Lavked | 67c | 983.46$654 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.18 | 410 | 50.7%208 W · 202 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked SINQU | 33c | 928.99$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.71 | 1,830 | 41.6%762 W · 1,068 L | -68.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x653e…bbc0backed SINQU | 10c | 915.74$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.57 | 387 | 39.5%153 W · 234 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked SINQU | 13c | 835$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.59 | 478 | 36.8%176 W · 302 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked SINQU | 37c | 823$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.96 | 2,330 | 42.5%991 W · 1,339 L | -71.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd84d…cc32backed SINQU | 14c | 760$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.4 | 327 | 48.6%159 W · 168 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed SINQU | 17c | 713.68$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.01 | 676 | 45%304 W · 372 L | -24.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked SINQU | 38c | 596$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.45 | 2,770 | 37.4%1,036 W · 1,734 L | -139.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked SINQU | 40c | 574.07$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.83 | 3,165 | 45.7%1,446 W · 1,719 L | -74.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf8c…e040backed SINQU | 38c | 570.44$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.55 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -3.0wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed SINQU | 46c | 525.56$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.98 | 789 | 52%410 W · 379 L | +26.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf404…daaabacked Lavked | 57c | 517.99$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.7 | 97 | 34%33 W · 64 L | -8.8wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked SINQU | 13c | 500$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 746 | 33.4%249 W · 497 L | -48.6wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed SINQU | 26c | 438$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.19 | 5,262 | 31.3%1,647 W · 3,615 L | -381.6wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed SINQU | 46c | 393.67$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.76 | 349 | 41.5%145 W · 204 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed SINQU | 4c | 348.82$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.47 | 873 | 30.9%270 W · 603 L | -62.0wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb595…5922backed SINQU | 41c | 323.97$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.85 | 193 | 53.9%104 W · 89 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked SINQU | 15c | 319.99$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.3 | 2,599 | 47.8%1,242 W · 1,357 L | -30.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c9c…91e9backed SINQU | 15c | 309.4$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.41 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.31per pick | 29cpaid | +107.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e4…dd38backed Lavked | 70c | 297.81$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.3 | 343 | 56.6%194 W · 149 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed SINQU | 13c | 267.74$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.38 | 2,057 | 41.5%853 W · 1,204 L | -50.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked SINQU | 33c | 257.95$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.6 | 5,474 | 46.9%2,565 W · 2,909 L | +38.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked SINQU | 38c | 227.58$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.38 | 4,897 | 37.4%1,832 W · 3,065 L | -245.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…33dabacked Lavked | 75c | 197$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 224 | 55.8%125 W · 99 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b27…0635backed Lavked | 58c | 180$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.8 | 309 | 49.2%152 W · 157 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8eb…0f59backed SINQU | 22c | 178.95$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 215 | 45.6%98 W · 117 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b88…16e6backed SINQU | 19c | 158.84$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.98 | 158 | 23.4%37 W · 121 L | -18.0wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed SINQU | 15c | 147.28$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.43 | 378 | 48.1%182 W · 196 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…3b6cbacked Lavked | 66c | 145.32$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.41 | 1,038 | 57.4%596 W · 442 L | +18.4wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked SINQU | 26c | 132.89$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.96 | 2,454 | 34.4%845 W · 1,609 L | -189.3wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked Lavked | 68c | 128$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.61 | 2,084 | 47%979 W · 1,105 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked SINQU | 38c | 127.53$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.1 | 1,318 | 51.7%682 W · 636 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fe0…e3c3backed Lavked | 79c | 122.89$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.01 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -57.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e47…bdbfbacked Lavked | 62c | 121.95$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.34 | 382 | 69.4%265 W · 117 L | +30.8wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed1…fd2abacked SINQU | 16c | 120$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 393 | 38.2%150 W · 243 L | -13.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59d8…ad87backed SINQU | 13c | 117.65$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.29 | 121 | 53.7%65 W · 56 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f8e…21b7backed SINQU | 37c | 109.14$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.7 | 149 | 49.7%74 W · 75 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e2a…9839backed SINQU | 13c | 106.75$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.45 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed SINQU | 12c | 103.83$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.95 | 2,467 | 24.6%606 W · 1,861 L | -318.3wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xc785…4ef2backed SINQU | 30c | 97.1$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.2 | 133 | 37.6%50 W · 83 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed SINQU | 15c | 94$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 169 | 35.5%60 W · 109 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…20d0backed Lavked | 60c | 92.6$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.18 | 607 | 55%334 W · 273 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5672…7312backed SINQU | 19c | 90.51$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.54 | 620 | 48.2%299 W · 321 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x420b…965bbacked Lavked | 63c | 89.99$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.9 | 582 | 54.3%316 W · 266 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa369…3ad6backed SINQU | 45c | 73.18$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.8 | 327 | 46.5%152 W · 175 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb77…fbeebacked SINQU | 46c | 72$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.12 | 230 | 56.1%129 W · 101 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8c…2d81backed SINQU | 20c | 67.21$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.68 | 434 | 48.4%210 W · 224 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed SINQU | 30c | 56.85$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.06 | 735 | 48.4%356 W · 379 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x634a…dddfbacked Lavked | 74c | 53.85$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 89 | 47.2%42 W · 47 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabe6…2faebacked Lavked | 79c | 52.11$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.14 | 70 | 44.3%31 W · 39 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c93…8967backed SINQU | 37c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebf5…b1d0backed SINQU | 46c | 49.06$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.57 | 490 | 50.6%248 W · 242 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef30…e949backed Lavked | 63c | 47$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.4 | 54 | 70.4%38 W · 16 L | +5.6wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed SINQU | 36c | 46.22$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.64 | 1,314 | 44.3%582 W · 732 L | +47.4wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Lavked | 79c | 46$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.66 | 207 | 56%116 W · 91 L | +8.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc75d…0717backed Lavked | 55c | 44.54$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.04 | 287 | 43.2%124 W · 163 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ce…e2eabacked SINQU | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe07d…4ee1backed SINQU | 46c | 43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.78 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe53b…fe03backed Lavked | 70c | 42.85$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.86 | 409 | 71.9%294 W · 115 L | +23.6wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…333bbacked SINQU | 30c | 35.79$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.71 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf619…a8c7backed SINQU | 36c | 35.57$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f1…f02dbacked SINQU | 46c | 32.96$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.16 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -5.4wins | -0.21per pick | 52cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2906…555abacked Lavked | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 32 | 78.1%25 W · 7 L | +3.5wins | +0.11per pick | 67cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3123…b44dbacked Lavked | 69c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 192 | 52.1%100 W · 92 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd30…9a01backed Lavked | 56c | 26.54$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.68 | 285 | 61.1%174 W · 111 L | +14.0wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked Lavked | 65c | 21.34$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.44 | 521 | 44.7%233 W · 288 L | -21.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Lavked vs SINQU (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #3 Group Bthis page
- Counter-Strike: Lavked vs SINQU - Map 1 WinnerLavked won
- Counter-Strike: Lavked vs SINQU - Map 2 WinnerSINQU won
- Map Handicap: LAVK (-1.5) vs SINQU (+1.5)SINQU won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.