TailMyPicks

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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Austin Peay Governors vs. Kent State Golden Flashes

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Kent State Golden Flashesof Austin Peay Governors, Kent State Golden Flashes
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$76,484
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$77,316

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $76,484 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1b5e…83f8backed Austin Peay Governors22c50,330$10,822 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,821.662650%13 W · 13 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Kent State Golden Flashes78c40,294$31,585 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,708.75,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb230…4193backed Austin Peay Governors22c22,612$4,975 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,974.681533.3%5 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-22.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Kent State Golden Flashes78c12,500$9,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,75090645.4%411 W · 495 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Kent State Golden Flashes79c8,155$6,430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,725.0255657.4%319 W · 237 L+20.3wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+3.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Kent State Golden Flashes78c8,147$6,383 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,764.021,63347.3%773 W · 860 L+25.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8717…49a8backed Kent State Golden Flashes78c1,527$1,191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$335.8717650.6%89 W · 87 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Kent State Golden Flashes79c1,046$829 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.6512,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea81…eeaebacked Austin Peay Governors19c799.61$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.461,22727.8%341 W · 886 L-0.9wins0.00per pick28cpaid-10.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc42c…42a1backed Kent State Golden Flashes78c696$543 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.1263551.5%327 W · 308 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a1e…86d3backed Kent State Golden Flashes78c503.92$393 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.865543.6%24 W · 31 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-16.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x504f…3ddcbacked Kent State Golden Flashes78c320.51$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.511457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc54f…dce8backed Austin Peay Governors27c215$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.364322.9%147 W · 496 L-17.1wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-27.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xac08…2ecfbacked Kent State Golden Flashes68c147.06$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.061100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x91bd…e0f0backed Austin Peay Governors23c141.44$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.4810%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4bdf…9652backed Kent State Golden Flashes78c141$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.367660.5%46 W · 30 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Kent State Golden Flashes78c138$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.824,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8217…4936backed Austin Peay Governors23c126.95$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.7519055.3%105 W · 85 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a05…0329backed Kent State Golden Flashes78c124.93$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.342630.8%8 W · 18 L-2.6wins-0.10per pick41cpaid-33.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7d55…6014backed Kent State Golden Flashes78c104.55$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x12fe…38cfbacked Austin Peay Governors23c100$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231,26043.3%545 W · 715 L+34.8wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Austin Peay Governors21c95$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.9565825.7%169 W · 489 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfcad…0a68backed Austin Peay Governors23c72.9$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.471855.6%10 W · 8 L+1.9wins+0.11per pick45cpaid+1.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3d78…a4ccbacked Kent State Golden Flashes78c64.1$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.11258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+12.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Austin Peay Governors22c51$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.3411344.2%50 W · 63 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x426a…128bbacked Kent State Golden Flashes78c36.92$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.942646.2%12 W · 14 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcda3…e313backed Kent State Golden Flashes78c25.64$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.641190.9%10 W · 1 L+4.2wins+0.38per pick53cpaid+107.6%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xd6c0…f04ebacked Kent State Golden Flashes78c21.76$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.791100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1c7…848fbacked Kent State Golden Flashes78c15.38$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.383100%3 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.