Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
James Madison Dukes vs. Southern Miss Golden Eagles
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8bc0bc36e9c0418e03131aad024041dd4cdc2b0109459b410d9f36746f40998f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Southern Miss Golden Eaglesof James Madison Dukes, Southern Miss Golden Eagles
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,564
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,900
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,564 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Southern Miss Golden Eagles | 51c | 5,828$2,972 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,856.1 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked James Madison Dukes | 47c | 2,477$1,157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,157.06 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked James Madison Dukes | 50c | 1,500$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9405…c071backed James Madison Dukes | 50c | 1,500$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 445 | 49.4%220 W · 225 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed1…caa2backed James Madison Dukes | 26c | 770$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.2 | 253 | 25.3%64 W · 189 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Southern Miss Golden Eagles | 51c | 714$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.86 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe622…ea5ebacked James Madison Dukes | 51c | 590$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.9 | 371 | 42.6%158 W · 213 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed James Madison Dukes | 3c | 410.05$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.81 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Southern Miss Golden Eagles | 77c | 311.15$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.64 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked James Madison Dukes | 35c | 235.73$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.62 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed James Madison Dukes | 30c | 234.48$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.36 | 668 | 31.4%210 W · 458 L | -43.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -23%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x59b6…307fbacked James Madison Dukes | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 453 | 51.4%233 W · 220 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Southern Miss Golden Eagles | 52c | 190.16$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.24 | 974 | 47.9%467 W · 507 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf5f…56a0backed James Madison Dukes | 34c | 150$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.95 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked James Madison Dukes | 28c | 142.03$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.28 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc938…af43backed Southern Miss Golden Eagles | 48c | 139$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.28 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x850a…e5dbbacked Southern Miss Golden Eagles | 72c | 109.33$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.33 | 181 | 67.4%122 W · 59 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Southern Miss Golden Eagles | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 1,074 | 43.3%465 W · 609 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc091…3d42backed Southern Miss Golden Eagles | 61c | 96.29$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.4 | 722 | 48.8%352 W · 370 L | -23.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c2…d3ddbacked James Madison Dukes | 48c | 73.46$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.1 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d84…6df0backed Southern Miss Golden Eagles | 59c | 67.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.73 | 536 | 46.5%249 W · 287 L | -24.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…f81dbacked James Madison Dukes | 29c | 51.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.88 | 870 | 47.2%411 W · 459 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb51…d2f5backed Southern Miss Golden Eagles | 53c | 51.08$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.01 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Southern Miss Golden Eagles | 49c | 49.99$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 1,070 | 46.9%502 W · 568 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e51…e4f7backed James Madison Dukes | 51c | 46.11$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.52 | 583 | 45.5%265 W · 318 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf03d…21fbbacked James Madison Dukes | 47c | 40.02$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.81 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.3wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed James Madison Dukes | 49c | 39.97$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.48 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25c3…eb62backed James Madison Dukes | 52c | 38$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.76 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfe…ed69backed Southern Miss Golden Eagles | 52c | 37.05$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.78 | 198 | 51.5%102 W · 96 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd5…ef85backed James Madison Dukes | 50c | 36.27$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.17 | 252 | 39.3%99 W · 153 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67e0…0fbebacked James Madison Dukes | 49c | 35.41$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60a6…7ed2backed James Madison Dukes | 52c | 35$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +2.8wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x98df…41b7backed James Madison Dukes | 42c | 31.74$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.33 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +4.0wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8f…1f83backed Southern Miss Golden Eagles | 55c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 646 | 58.8%380 W · 266 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b12…7a77backed James Madison Dukes | 39c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 523 | 53.5%280 W · 243 L | -17.9wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9430…97cebacked James Madison Dukes | 52c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc856…0aa5backed James Madison Dukes | 52c | 21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.92 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94fa…989ebacked Southern Miss Golden Eagles | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 814 | 53.1%432 W · 382 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83fb…e89bbacked Southern Miss Golden Eagles | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 169 | 52.7%89 W · 80 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- James Madison Dukes vs. Southern Miss Golden Eaglesthis page
- James Madison Dukes vs. Southern Miss Golden Eagles: O/U 143.5Under won
- Spread: James Madison Dukes (-1.5)Southern Miss Golden Eagles won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.