Lol · resolved market
LoL: Senshi Esports Club vs mCon esports - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8bfeb294fb9eb4aec50bdd74b3a178bfa7246da302a9a4c6e9ccce484a66a5a0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- mCon esportsof Senshi Esports Club, mCon esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,710
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,881
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,710 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked Senshi Esports Club | 50c | 1,061$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530.49 | 878 | 44.2%388 W · 490 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfad…fa05backed mCon esports | 50c | 800$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 1,218 | 58.1%708 W · 510 L | +44.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Senshi Esports Club | 49c | 738.02$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.72 | 1,061 | 54.7%580 W · 481 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a02…a770backed mCon esports | 50c | 255.3$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.77 | 1,372 | 48.6%667 W · 705 L | +57.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Senshi Esports Club | 47c | 204.44$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.35 | 1,536 | 43.8%672 W · 864 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cd2…648cbacked Senshi Esports Club | 11c | 199.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 949 | 48.5%460 W · 489 L | +26.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd7…8553backed mCon esports | 49c | 196.99$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.07 | 698 | 57.4%401 W · 297 L | +37.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Senshi Esports Club | 28c | 167.01$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.7 | 1,726 | 29.4%507 W · 1,219 L | -124.5wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Senshi Esports Club | 16c | 159$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.89 | 3,119 | 33.7%1,052 W · 2,067 L | -151.2wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Senshi Esports Club | 23c | 112.46$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.7 | 2,672 | 35.7%954 W · 1,718 L | -153.3wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x456a…6a90backed Senshi Esports Club | 51c | 105$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.55 | 169 | 42%71 W · 98 L | -9.0wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ecb…d265backed mCon esports | 53c | 94.68$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.68 | 94 | 64.9%61 W · 33 L | +7.6wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Senshi Esports Club | 42c | 81.53$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.56 | 1,459 | 43.3%632 W · 827 L | -33.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5839…3fa8backed Senshi Esports Club | 52c | 77.12$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 116 | 67.2%78 W · 38 L | +5.9wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9c74backed Senshi Esports Club | 50c | 70$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 487 | 47%229 W · 258 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Senshi Esports Club | 39c | 48.26$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.71 | 1,952 | 30.6%597 W · 1,355 L | -166.9wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xea58…930fbacked mCon esports | 50c | 45$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 1,216 | 44.4%540 W · 676 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48ef…8444backed mCon esports | 53c | 44.36$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.05 | 78 | 60.3%47 W · 31 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3073…3413backed mCon esports | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 189 | 60.3%114 W · 75 L | +10.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked mCon esports | 70c | 31.01$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 1,671 | 57.9%968 W · 703 L | +70.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16db…8d0fbacked Senshi Esports Club | 49c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 244 | 45.1%110 W · 134 L | -8.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8837…17aabacked Senshi Esports Club | 50c | 21.73$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.9 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | -6.1wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed mCon esports | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 1,300 | 49.2%639 W · 661 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc666…8d00backed Senshi Esports Club | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 422 | 51.7%218 W · 204 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7028…66d1backed Senshi Esports Club | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 164 | 62.8%103 W · 61 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Senshi Esports Club vs mCon esports - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- LoL: Senshi Esports Club vs mCon esports (BO3) - Road Of Legends PlayoffsmCon esports won
- LoL: Senshi Esports Club vs mCon esports - Game 2 WinnerSenshi Esports Club won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.