South American Leagues · resolved market
Club Alianza Atlético vs. CSyD Macará: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8c14674d05011d2ea9d37f01e31faa320b836c002766551fac1009631b4e75bd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,784
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,118
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,784 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed No | 43c | 2,555$1,107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,448.29 | 166 | 47%78 W · 88 L | +11.8wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 55c | 2,308$1,271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,271.12 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 42c | 819.55$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.96 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 37c | 697.17$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.83 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb126…9848backed No | 58c | 689.66$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 63c | 685.68$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.7 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea2f…dff2backed No | 58c | 508$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.44 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xceee…d39ebacked No | 63c | 499.99$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.99 | 149 | 45%67 W · 82 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 63c | 499.96$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.99 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3f0…9384backed No | 57c | 350$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Yes | 38c | 309.39$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.28 | 412 | 56.6%233 W · 179 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Yes | 43c | 300$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129 | 138 | 28.3%39 W · 99 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes | 37c | 286.81$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.12 | 650 | 58%377 W · 273 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Yes | 57c | 240.05$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.03 | 477 | 58.1%277 W · 200 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 63c | 178.99$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.23 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed Yes | 37c | 162.16$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 388 | 61.3%238 W · 150 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 42c | 117$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.14 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x137f…6689backed Yes | 56c | 110$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.95 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe479…70dfbacked No | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Yes | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 449 | 59%265 W · 184 L | +22.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed No | 31c | 81$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.89 | 507 | 46.7%237 W · 270 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9006…385abacked No | 64c | 71.88$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.88 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Yes | 57c | 63.35$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.11 | 636 | 57.5%366 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7479…e171backed Yes | 56c | 57.6$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.26 | 70 | 55.7%39 W · 31 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Yes | 57c | 50.43$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.65 | 571 | 57.8%330 W · 241 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b44…be1ebacked No | 61c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 44c | 49.98$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.99 | 1,439 | 37.5%540 W · 899 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x516e…00afbacked No | 58c | 43.1$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.1 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.5wins | +0.32per pick | 56cpaid | +59.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Yes | 37c | 42$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.54 | 228 | 53.1%121 W · 107 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d34…e004backed No | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Yes | 57c | 23.35$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.31 | 341 | 55.1%188 W · 153 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed No | 55c | 22.58$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.16 | 81 | 53.1%43 W · 38 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Club Alianza Atlético vs. CSyD Macará: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Club Alianza Atlético vs. CSyD Macará: O/U 1.5Over won
- Club Alianza Atlético vs. CSyD Macará: O/U 2.5Under won
- Club Alianza Atlético vs. CSyD Macará: O/U 3.5Under won
- Club Alianza Atlético vs. CSyD Macará: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Club Alianza Atlético (-1.5)CSyD Macará won
- Spread: Club Alianza Atlético (-2.5)CSyD Macará won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.