TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Map Handicap: ENJOY (-1.5) vs Fortress (+1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Fortressof ENJOY, Fortress
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$3,221
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$3,551

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,221 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xddc3…029cbacked ENJOY71c2,596$1,846 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,845.9492456.8%525 W · 399 L+2.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb07…e2ccbacked Fortress27c410.4$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$299.5824746.6%115 W · 132 L+0.4wins0.00per pick46cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6407…d360backed Fortress26c370.88$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$274.4532344.3%143 W · 180 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x82b0…7c38backed Fortress34c361.76$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238.769146.2%42 W · 49 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Fortress27c300$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21961948%297 W · 322 L-11.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e54…511ebacked Fortress33c279.06$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.2638844.3%172 W · 216 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed ENJOY71c240.75$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.215,83037.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L+79.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x69b9…a5d5backed Fortress33c200.03$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.0211354%61 W · 52 L+6.3wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+8.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x021a…d3aebacked Fortress26c171.21$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.725042.4%106 W · 144 L+0.7wins0.00per pick42cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefa3…7585backed Fortress26c153.81$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.8277351.2%396 W · 377 L+24.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xedf7…4003backed Fortress26c120$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.880740.3%325 W · 482 L-3.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x17ef…9a2cbacked Fortress34c88.24$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.2410454.8%57 W · 47 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Fortress29c80$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.581,84847.6%879 W · 969 L-55.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Fortress29c75$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.252,62247.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L-33.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Fortress29c72.61$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.960451%308 W · 296 L+8.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa0b…2debbacked Fortress26c53.85$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.8535745.4%162 W · 195 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Fortress26c52$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.344747.2%211 W · 236 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.