TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Team Recrent vs Team shoke - Map 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Team shokeof Team Recrent, Team shoke
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,943
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,964

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,943 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 13 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf54b…91f7backed Team Recrent64c367$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.8516538.8%64 W · 101 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Team shoke35c288.89$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.025,58047.2%2,632 W · 2,948 L+47.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x483a…01d6backed Team Recrent64c185.49$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.7120349.3%100 W · 103 L-12.9wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-14.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xefa3…7585backed Team shoke55c179$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.1377351.2%396 W · 377 L+24.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked Team shoke38c151.5$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.374,75443.6%2,071 W · 2,683 L-85.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Team shoke53c142$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.242,79837.6%1,051 W · 1,747 L-138.2wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-20.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7e8a…5f49backed Team shoke37c99.99$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.9910150.5%51 W · 50 L-7.2wins-0.07per pick58cpaid-16.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6e5a…96bcbacked Team Recrent49c81.94$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4015246.1%70 W · 82 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f56…348abacked Team shoke62c81.74$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.8360232.4%195 W · 407 L-49.6wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-38.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf98b…57bbbacked Team Recrent66c79.1$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.2138157.7%220 W · 161 L-1.4wins0.00per pick58cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x64d4…f056backed Team shoke45c47$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.8566436.6%243 W · 421 L-35.9wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-29.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Team Recrent27c40$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.951,30526.4%345 W · 960 L-89.7wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-29.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xb71f…043ebacked Team Recrent69c36.23$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253745.9%17 W · 20 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid0%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.