Tennis · resolved market
Transylvania Open: Elena Ruxandra Bertea vs Kaja Juvan
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8c463da8088161a940e7f532e466c25f014d74f9ece92f9b9c79576f9e7d008a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Juvanof Bertea, Juvan
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,372
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,159
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,372 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Bertea | 1c | 2,418$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.83 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1df5…b0c4backed Bertea | 5c | 1,360$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.95 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.23per pick | 37cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Bertea | 5c | 1,032$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.12 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Bertea | 2c | 524.76$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 6,792 | 36.9%2,505 W · 4,287 L | -98.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa924…b1b9backed Bertea | 8c | 500.25$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.17 | 139 | 23.7%33 W · 106 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac98…7281backed Bertea | 7c | 500$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 114 | 28.9%33 W · 81 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0097…f101backed Bertea | 10c | 310$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 218 | 43.1%94 W · 124 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Bertea | 7c | 305.59$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.85 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Bertea | 12c | 298.11$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde8c…6307backed Bertea | 13c | 244.47$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.78 | 45 | 26.7%12 W · 33 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -22%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Bertea | 16c | 200$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.81 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Bertea | 9c | 186.04$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.3 | 6,840 | 48.8%3,341 W · 3,499 L | +58.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Juvan | 77c | 176.32$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 11,666 | 43.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L | +22.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Juvan | 77c | 163.15$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.65 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c9e…bba8backed Bertea | 22c | 158$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.47 | 67 | 40.3%27 W · 40 L | -5.8wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Bertea | 23c | 119$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.22 | 970 | 46.6%452 W · 518 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f19…ec51backed Bertea | 23c | 119$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.92 | 95 | 41.1%39 W · 56 L | -7.1wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -36%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Bertea | 17c | 88.98$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.82 | 520 | 37.7%196 W · 324 L | -30.8wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Bertea | 17c | 71.27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 248 | 26.2%65 W · 183 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Bertea | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,212 | 33.1%401 W · 811 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab50…6e96backed Juvan | 80c | 31.25$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.25 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | -4.9wins | -0.09per pick | 60cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Juvan | 80c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.6 | 7,183 | 49.7%3,568 W · 3,615 L | +112.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Transylvania Open: Elena Ruxandra Bertea vs Kaja Juvanthis page
- Bertea vs. Juvan: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Over won
- Set 1 Winner: Bertea vs JuvanJuvan won
- Set Handicap: Juvan (-1.5) vs Bertea (+1.5)Juvan won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.