Tennis · resolved market
ITF Columbus: Thara Gowda vs Sakura Hosogi
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8c7761d4be923a87c100c5fb9d0914b339998833122d702b31a9ef6db35afb53
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sakura Hosogiof Thara Gowda, Sakura Hosogi
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,724
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,025
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,724 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Sakura Hosogi | 66c | 4,057$2,668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,389.47 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Thara Gowda | 41c | 2,080$853 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$852.8 | 2,776 | 53.7%1,491 W · 1,285 L | +69.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Sakura Hosogi | 63c | 1,655$1,045 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$609.52 | 11,666 | 43.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L | +22.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c9…6686backed Thara Gowda | 34c | 1,259$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.95 | 1,337 | 46%615 W · 722 L | +23.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Thara Gowda | 40c | 587.5$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 1,723 | 50.1%863 W · 860 L | +29.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63ad…790cbacked Sakura Hosogi | 62c | 548$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.24 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Thara Gowda | 24c | 409.42$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.98 | 1,880 | 48.5%912 W · 968 L | +8.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9455…7defbacked Thara Gowda | 15c | 333.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,000 | 49.8%498 W · 502 L | +19.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Thara Gowda | 28c | 314.29$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 1,785 | 48.7%869 W · 916 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2002…a75ebacked Thara Gowda | 20c | 272.92$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.74 | 330 | 43.9%145 W · 185 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Thara Gowda | 40c | 240.32$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 3,457 | 38.9%1,345 W · 2,112 L | -15.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Thara Gowda | 40c | 237.76$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 3,262 | 40.3%1,314 W · 1,948 L | +22.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked Thara Gowda | 36c | 188.11$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 1,356 | 38.3%520 W · 836 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc98b…c6f3backed Sakura Hosogi | 66c | 186.24$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.76 | 111 | 55%61 W · 50 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Sakura Hosogi | 79c | 179.21$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.14 | 9,038 | 36.1%3,266 W · 5,772 L | -196.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed Thara Gowda | 34c | 165.27$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.19 | 901 | 52.3%471 W · 430 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda70…37e3backed Sakura Hosogi | 77c | 126.68$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.19 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Thara Gowda | 40c | 126.41$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2,179 | 37%807 W · 1,372 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Thara Gowda | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2,639 | 46.4%1,224 W · 1,415 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Sakura Hosogi | 76c | 119.97$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.62 | 8,702 | 42.6%3,708 W · 4,994 L | -165.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d10…780bbacked Thara Gowda | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1,036 | 54.2%562 W · 474 L | +38.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd9…039bbacked Thara Gowda | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1,009 | 38.3%386 W · 623 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff8c…142ebacked Sakura Hosogi | 79c | 90.46$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.1 | 49 | 79.6%39 W · 10 L | +8.9wins | +0.18per pick | 61cpaid | +31%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Sakura Hosogi | 78c | 72.73$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.29 | 992 | 44.7%443 W · 549 L | -29.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x332a…a06bbacked Sakura Hosogi | 64c | 72$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.77 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ad…34cebacked Thara Gowda | 41c | 70.73$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 440 | 51.6%227 W · 213 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Thara Gowda | 41c | 62$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.37 | 1,229 | 53.1%653 W · 576 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Sakura Hosogi | 78c | 60$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.12 | 1,459 | 50.1%731 W · 728 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Thara Gowda | 32c | 57.15$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.46 | 1,629 | 49%798 W · 831 L | -51.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Thara Gowda | 36c | 51.2$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.41 | 6,840 | 48.8%3,341 W · 3,499 L | +58.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Thara Gowda | 30c | 48.91$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.46 | 3,155 | 57.2%1,806 W · 1,349 L | +176.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Sakura Hosogi | 71c | 45.71$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.04 | 6,574 | 46.2%3,037 W · 3,537 L | -45.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Sakura Hosogi | 77c | 43.25$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.1 | 1,487 | 47.5%706 W · 781 L | -19.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca2b…3489backed Sakura Hosogi | 58c | 42.9$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.02 | 247 | 40.1%99 W · 148 L | -8.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbd…d0dfbacked Thara Gowda | 39c | 39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.35 | 214 | 47.2%101 W · 113 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x362c…67e6backed Thara Gowda | 38c | 34.24$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.91 | 372 | 55.6%207 W · 165 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c8c…01c9backed Thara Gowda | 40c | 33.38$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.35 | 84 | 46.4%39 W · 45 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x999a…9a25backed Sakura Hosogi | 74c | 33$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.5 | 604 | 52.5%317 W · 287 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Sakura Hosogi | 63c | 32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.84 | 5,498 | 48.5%2,667 W · 2,831 L | +10.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Thara Gowda | 42c | 31$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.02 | 2,135 | 56%1,195 W · 940 L | +41.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf9…8292backed Sakura Hosogi | 62c | 19.27$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.32 | 591 | 57.7%341 W · 250 L | +20.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf442…2581backed Sakura Hosogi | 73c | 16.56$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.42 | 72 | 75%54 W · 18 L | +11.5wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xfb57…24fcbacked Sakura Hosogi | 77c | 15.52$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.52 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 72cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.