Tennis · resolved market
ITF Bakio: Matt Ponchet vs Robin Bertrand
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8c88f3a51a5cb77006cdcac631704ad34ba771f10f35b5bcf9fc775639a65b9f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Robin Bertrandof Matt Ponchet, Robin Bertrand
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,591
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,642
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,591 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Robin Bertrand | 70c | 1,870$1,302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$567.72 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Matt Ponchet | 32c | 1,373$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.44 | 2,776 | 53.7%1,491 W · 1,285 L | +69.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Matt Ponchet | 22c | 721.52$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.99 | 5,325 | 28.8%1,533 W · 3,792 L | -21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Robin Bertrand | 78c | 517.43$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.31 | 1,148 | 53%608 W · 540 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Robin Bertrand | 77c | 227$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.21 | 7,753 | 47.8%3,703 W · 4,050 L | +39.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Matt Ponchet | 12c | 187.07$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.01 | 6,792 | 36.9%2,505 W · 4,287 L | -98.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Matt Ponchet | 27c | 151.85$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 3,262 | 40.3%1,314 W · 1,948 L | +22.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Matt Ponchet | 27c | 151.85$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 3,457 | 38.9%1,345 W · 2,112 L | -15.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Matt Ponchet | 22c | 148.98$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.1 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked Matt Ponchet | 27c | 122.22$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 1,356 | 38.3%520 W · 836 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Matt Ponchet | 38c | 64.66$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.29 | 1,832 | 53%971 W · 861 L | -45.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked Robin Bertrand | 77c | 37$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.51 | 1,794 | 60.2%1,080 W · 714 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7da3…bf1bbacked Robin Bertrand | 78c | 34.79$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.75 | 61 | 75.4%46 W · 15 L | +5.2wins | +0.09per pick | 67cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd78e…6421backed Robin Bertrand | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 935 | 57.3%536 W · 399 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Robin Bertrand | 60c | 16.67$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 746 | 46.1%344 W · 402 L | -30.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf8…99f4backed Robin Bertrand | 78c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.52 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Robin Bertrand | 68c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.76 | 727 | 55.6%404 W · 323 L | +27.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd6d…aeb3backed Robin Bertrand | 77c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.22 | 24 | 91.7%22 W · 2 L | +4.4wins | +0.18per pick | 73cpaid | +26%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.